RiceOwls

3-3 T9th (1-2) in AAC

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@LouisianaUL	W14-12
2	9/06	vsHoustonHOU	L9-35
3	9/13	vsPrairie View A&MPV	W38-17
4	9/18	@CharlotteCLT	W28-17
5	9/27	@NavyNAVY	L13-21
6	10/04	vsFlorida AtlanticFAU	L21-27
7	10/11	@UTSAUTSA	Win prob:18%
9	10/25	vsUConnCONN	Win prob:37%
10	10/31	vsMemphisMEM	Win prob:12%
11	11/08	vsUABUAB	Win prob:60%
13	11/22	vsNorth TexasUNT	Win prob:17%
14	11/29	@South FloridaUSF	Win prob:20%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	0.0%	38.1%
5-3	1.0%	0.4%
4-4	7.8%	0%
3-5	28.3%	0%
2-6	44.0%	0%
1-7	18.9%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

33.3%

33.3%

33.3%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
NavyNAVY@TempleTEM	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@ArmyARMY	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
UABUAB@Florida AtlanticFAU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
East CarolinaECU@TulaneTULN	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
RiceRICE@UTSAUTSA	0.1% (+0.1%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@North TexasUNT	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Temple

Army

UAB

Tulane

Rice

South Florida

CCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Rice

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 18.6%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

45.5%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

7.4%

0.2%

35.5%

<0.1%

1.4%

0.1%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com