BYU

BYUCougars

6-0 T1st (3-0) in B12

Data from 2025-10-12 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

34.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

BYUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
W69-0
29/06
W27-3
49/20
W34-13
59/27
W24-21
610/03
W38-24
710/11
W33-27
810/18
Win prob:61%
910/25
Win prob:52%
1111/08
Win prob:31%
1211/15
Win prob:51%
1311/22
Win prob:65%
1411/29
Win prob:74%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

BYURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
2.4%
100.0%
8-1
13.7%
97.7%
7-2
29.3%
58.6%
6-3
31.2%
3.8%
5-4
17.8%
0.0%
4-5
5.0%
0%
3-6
0.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely BYU CCG Opponents

if BYU makes the CCG

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

BYUThis Week's Impact

Game
BYUCCG OddsAway
BYUCCG OddsHome
36.4%
(+2.3%)
31.7%
(-2.4%)
14.4%
(-19.7%)
46.8%
(+12.7%)
33.9%
(-0.2%)
34.2%
(+0.1%)
34.3%
(+0.1%)
34.1%
(-0.0%)
34.0%
(-0.1%)
34.9%
(+0.8%)
34.6%
(+0.5%)
33.7%
(-0.4%)

Best Winner Combination for BYU

Texas TechTexas TechBYUBYUTCUTCUWest VirginiaWest VirginiaOklahoma StOklahoma StateHoustonHouston

CCG: 56.0% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for BYU

BYUBYU

CCG: 46.8% • Scenario: 60.9%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

BYULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
BYU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
2.4%
Any 1 loss
97.7%
13.6%
Iowa St
99.9%
2.3%
UCF
99.7%
0.9%
TCU
99.7%
2.3%
Cincinnati
99.6%
1.4%
Utah
98.9%
1.6%
Texas Tech
94.7%
5.3%
Any 2 losses
58.6%
29.3%
Iowa StUCF
92.1%
0.8%
CincinnatiIowa St
79.3%
1.2%
Texas TechUCF
75.3%
1.8%
TCUUCF
75.3%
0.8%
Iowa StTCU
74.7%
2.2%
CincinnatiUCF
74.6%
0.5%
UCFUtah
70.4%
0.5%
Iowa StUtah
66.7%
1.4%
CincinnatiTCU
64.9%
1.4%
Iowa StTexas Tech
61.5%
4.9%
CincinnatiTexas Tech
52.6%
3.0%
TCUUtah
51.6%
1.5%
CincinnatiUtah
49.9%
0.9%
TCUTexas Tech
45.8%
5.2%
Texas TechUtah
35.4%
3.3%
Any 3 losses
3.8%
31.3%
Iowa StTexas TechUCF
10.0%
1.7%
Iowa StTCUUCF
8.1%
0.8%
CincinnatiTexas TechUCF
7.7%
1.0%
Iowa StUCFUtah
7.4%
0.5%
CincinnatiIowa StUCF
6.8%
0.4%
TCUTexas TechUCF
6.1%
1.8%
CincinnatiTCUUCF
5.4%
0.4%
TCUUCFUtah
4.7%
0.5%
CincinnatiIowa StTexas Tech
4.0%
2.7%
CincinnatiIowa StTCU
3.7%
1.1%
Texas TechUCFUtah
3.5%
1.2%
CincinnatiIowa StUtah
3.5%
0.8%
CincinnatiUCFUtah
3.1%
0.3%
Iowa StTexas TechUtah
3.0%
3.2%
CincinnatiTCUTexas Tech
2.9%
2.8%
Iowa StTCUTexas Tech
2.6%
4.7%
Iowa StTCUUtah
2.2%
1.4%
TCUTexas TechUtah
1.8%
3.4%
CincinnatiTCUUtah
1.5%
0.8%
CincinnatiTexas TechUtah
1.5%
1.9%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

BYUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com