Big XII Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	Overall
Texas TechTTU	100%	99.3%	67.6%	2.6%	-	74.7%
BYUBYU	100%	97.7%	58.6%	3.8%	<0.1%	34.1%
Arizona StateASU	-	99.0%	53.9%	2.9%	-	28.9%
UtahUTAH	-	99.8%	73.9%	12.9%	<0.1%	17.7%
CincinnatiCIN	100%	96.9%	44.2%	1.5%	-	15.1%
TCUTCU	-	-	64.0%	5.2%	-	12.3%
BaylorBAY	-	92.9%	46.1%	1.2%	-	6.3%
KansasKU	-	-	33.6%	0.7%	-	3.8%
Kansas StateKSU	-	-	75.2%	3.4%	-	3.7%
Iowa StateISU	-	-	72.3%	3.4%	-	2.6%
HoustonHOU	-	91.4%	30.4%	0.5%	-	0.5%
ColoradoCOLO	-	-	-	3.9%	-	0.1%
ArizonaARIZ	-	-	35.3%	2.1%	-	<0.1%
UCFUCF	-	-	-	3.4%	-	<0.1%
Oklahoma StateOKST	-	-	-	-	-	-
West VirginiaWVU	-	-	-	-	-	-

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
Texas TechTTU(3-0)	15.5%	37.2%	32.5%	12.6%	2.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-	-	-	7.5
BYUBYU(3-0)	2.4%	13.7%	29.3%	31.2%	17.8%	5.0%	0.6%	-	-	-	6.3
Arizona StateASU(2-1)	-	10.6%	32.2%	35.3%	17.5%	3.9%	0.4%	<0.1%	-	-	6.3
CincinnatiCIN(3-0)	0.4%	5.2%	20.6%	36.0%	28.3%	8.7%	0.7%	-	-	-	5.8
TCUTCU(1-2)	-	-	16.1%	37.0%	31.0%	12.8%	2.8%	0.3%	<0.1%	-	5.5
UtahUTAH(2-1)	-	2.9%	14.8%	30.1%	30.7%	16.5%	4.4%	0.5%	-	-	5.4
KansasKU(2-2)	-	-	10.8%	32.7%	36.2%	17.1%	3.2%	<0.1%	-	-	5.3
BaylorBAY(2-1)	-	1.4%	10.1%	26.3%	33.2%	21.2%	6.9%	0.9%	-	-	5.1
Kansas StateKSU(2-2)	-	-	4.0%	20.5%	37.0%	29.4%	8.5%	0.4%	-	-	4.8
Iowa StateISU(2-2)	-	-	2.9%	17.3%	35.6%	32.1%	11.4%	0.7%	-	-	4.7
HoustonHOU(2-1)	-	<0.1%	1.3%	8.5%	25.4%	37.5%	22.7%	4.5%	-	-	4.2
ColoradoCOLO(1-3)	-	-	-	2.5%	15.3%	34.5%	33.1%	12.9%	1.7%	-	3.6
UCFUCF(0-3)	-	-	-	1.0%	10.1%	31.7%	38.7%	16.0%	2.4%	<0.1%	3.3
ArizonaARIZ(1-2)	-	-	<0.1%	1.0%	6.2%	19.7%	33.5%	29.1%	10.4%	-	2.9
West VirginiaWVU(0-3)	-	-	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	4.6%	19.4%	41.5%	33.9%	1.0
Oklahoma StateOKST(0-3)	-	-	-	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	3.8%	26.0%	70.0%	0.3

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com