Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/28 | W17-10 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W68-7 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W34-9 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L20-34 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | L20-27 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L11-20 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:84% | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:39% | |
| 11 | 11/07 | Win prob:73% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:18% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:95% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:26% |
Data from 2025-10-12
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 1.0% | 3.4% |
| 5-4 | 10.1% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 31.7% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 38.7% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 16.0% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 2.4% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 0.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-12
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-10-12
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Texas Tech
BYU
BaylorUCF
Oklahoma State
ArizonaCCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 0.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
BYUUCFCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 51.0%
Data from 2025-10-12
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
3.4%
1.0%Data from 2025-10-12
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-12