MissouriTigers

5-1 T7th (1-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-12 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsCentral ArkansasCARK	W61-6
2	9/06	vsKansasKU	W42-31
3	9/13	vsLouisianaUL	W52-10
4	9/20	vsSouth CarolinaSC	W29-20
5	9/27	vsMassachusettsMASS	W42-6
7	10/11	vsAlabamaALA	L24-27
8	10/18	@AuburnAUB	Win prob:57%
9	10/25	@VanderbiltVAN	Win prob:48%
11	11/08	vsTexas A&MTA&M	Win prob:58%
12	11/15	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:88%
13	11/22	@OklahomaOU	Win prob:44%
14	11/29	@ArkansasARK	Win prob:66%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	4.1%	53.3%
6-2	18.1%	2.2%
5-3	32.6%	0.0%
4-4	28.7%	0%
3-5	13.3%	0%
2-6	3.0%	0%
1-7	0.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

54.4%

20.8%

16.8%

6.4%

1.6%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MissouriMIZ@AuburnAUB	4.3% (+1.7%)	0.3% (-2.3%)
Texas A&MTA&M@ArkansasARK	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.6% (+0.1%)
LSULSU@VanderbiltVAN	2.4% (-0.2%)	2.7% (+0.1%)
TennesseeTENN@AlabamaALA	2.8% (+0.3%)	2.5% (-0.1%)
Ole MissMISS@GeorgiaUGA	2.7% (+0.2%)	2.5% (-0.1%)
OklahomaOU@South CarolinaSC	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.6% (+0.0%)
TexasTEX@KentuckyUK	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.8% (+0.3%)
Mississippi StateMSST@FloridaFLA	2.7% (+0.2%)	2.5% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Auburn

Arkansas

Vanderbilt

Tennessee

Georgia

Oklahoma

Kentucky

Mississippi State

CCG: 18.2% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Missouri

CCG: 4.3% • Scenario: 57.0%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

53.3%

4.1%

Any 1 loss

2.2%

18.1%

3.8%

3.0%

2.4%

4.4%

2.1%

2.0%

1.7%

5.1%

1.7%

2.9%

1.0%

0.6%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com