Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
13.7%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/28 | W45-17 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L19-45 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L27-34 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W45-33 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W38-3 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W45-21 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L18-27 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:30% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:57% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:65% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:81% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:80% |
Data from 2025-10-19
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 12.9% | 78.5% |
| 6-2 | 41.9% | 8.5% |
| 5-3 | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| 4-4 | 10.2% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 0.9% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-19
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-10-19
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0% (-1.6%) | 18.6% (+4.9%) | |
| 13.0% (-0.6%) | 15.6% (+1.9%) | |
| 16.8% (+3.2%) | 12.8% (-0.9%) | |
| 17.1% (+3.4%) | 13.5% (-0.2%) | |
| 16.0% (+2.3%) | 12.9% (-0.8%) | |
| 17.3% (+3.6%) | 13.6% (-0.1%) | |
| 14.9% (+1.2%) | 12.8% (-0.8%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Wake Forest
Boston College
NC State
Stanford
Virginia TechCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Wake ForestCCG: 18.6% • Scenario: 25.0%
Data from 2025-10-19
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
79.0%
7.4%Any 1 loss
21.2%
29.3%
77.7%
5.5%
11.8%
1.7%11.4%
1.8%
8.3%
16.5%
5.7%
3.9%Data from 2025-10-19
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-19