Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L26-45 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W27-20 | |
| 3 | 9/12 | W66-24 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W34-21 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L3-38 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | L18-31 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L13-30 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:22% | |
| 10 | 10/31 | Win prob:69% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:6% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:1% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:73% |
Data from 2025-10-19
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4-4 | 13.2% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 47.4% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 32.6% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 6.2% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-19
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Wake Forest
VirginiaSyracuse
Louisville
Pittsburgh
Miami
CaliforniaCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 1.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Wake ForestVirginiaSyracuseLouisvillePittsburghMiamiCaliforniaCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 1.2%
Data from 2025-10-19
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-19