Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/28 | W29-0 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L0-73 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W31-25 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W28-16 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | L7-42 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L8-23 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L14-37 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:19% | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:8% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:16% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:4% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:12% |
Data from 2025-10-19
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0% | 0% |
| 5-3 | 0.1% | 2.0% |
| 4-4 | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| 3-5 | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| 2-6 | 36.7% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 52.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-19
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 0.4%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 19.0%
Data from 2025-10-19
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-19