NorthwesternWildcats

5-2 T3rd (3-1) in B1G

Data from 2025-10-19 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@TulaneTULN	L3-23
2	9/05	vsWestern IllinoisWIU	W42-7
3	9/13	vsOregonORE	L14-34
5	9/27	vsUCLAUCLA	W17-14
6	10/04	vsUL MonroeULM	W42-7
7	10/11	@Penn StatePSU	W22-21
8	10/18	vsPurduePUR	W19-0
9	10/25	@NebraskaNEB	Win prob:20%
11	11/07	@USCUSC	Win prob:7%
12	11/15	vsMichiganMICH(N)	Win prob:15%
13	11/22	vsMinnesotaMINN(N)	Win prob:47%
14	11/29	@IllinoisILL	Win prob:32%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	0.0%	52.0%
7-2	0.8%	2.7%
6-3	7.1%	0%
5-4	26.2%	0%
4-5	42.6%	0%
3-6	23.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

50.0%

25.0%

25.0%

0.0%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MinnesotaMINN@IowaIOWA	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@OregonORE	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
RutgersRUTG@PurduePUR	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
MichiganMICH@Michigan StateMSU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
NorthwesternNU@NebraskaNEB	0.1% (+0.1%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@IndianaIU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
IllinoisILL@WashingtonWASH	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Iowa

Rutgers

Michigan State

Northwestern

UCLA

Illinois

CCG: 12.5% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Oregon

Northwestern

CCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 18.9%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

52.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

2.7%

0.8%

3.8%

0.1%

2.8%

0.2%

2.7%

<0.1%

2.5%

<0.1%

2.3%

0.4%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com