Mid-American Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 130 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-1 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 99.6%	10.2%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 92.0% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 7.9%	2.0%
7-1 BuffaloBUF ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 85.3% BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 10.6% BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU 4.0%	1.8%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 68.6% ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 30.9%	1.7%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 41.9% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 35.6% OhioOHIOToledoTOL 22.5%	1.5%
7-1 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFOhioOHIO 72.8% BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU 27.2%	1.5%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 64.2% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 35.8%	1.3%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU 50.6% ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 49.4%	1.2%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 62.6% BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 20.7% Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 16.7%	1.1%
8-0 OhioOHIO 6-2 ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	OhioOHIOToledoTOL	1.1%
7-1 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 94.4% BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 5.6%	1.0%
8-0 OhioOHIO 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 86.5% OhioOHIOToledoTOL 13.5%	0.9%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	OhioOHIOToledoTOL	0.9%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 84.1% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 9.7% BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU 6.2%	0.9%
8-0 OhioOHIO 7-1 BuffaloBUF Western MichiganWMU	OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU	0.9%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain OhioOHIOToledoTOL 83.8% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 15.7%	0.8%
8-0 OhioOHIO 6-2 BuffaloBUF ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain OhioOHIOToledoTOL 99.1%	0.8%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 54.5% OhioOHIOToledoTOL 45.5%	0.8%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 BuffaloBUF ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain OhioOHIOToledoTOL 82.7% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 17.2%	0.8%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 80.9% ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 19.1%	0.8%
6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 57.0% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 23.7% Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 17.2%	0.6%
7-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 6-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 76.0% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 23.7%	0.6%
7-1 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 99.8%	0.6%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 54.0% Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 46.0%	0.4%
6-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 51.4% BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 20.6% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 11.4%	0.4%
8-0 OhioOHIO 6-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain OhioOHIOToledoTOL 98.7% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 1.3%	0.4%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL	ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU	0.4%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 80.5% Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 19.5%	0.3%
6-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 55.1% OhioOHIOToledoTOL 43.0% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 1.9%	0.3%
6-2 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 67.9% BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 21.5% BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU 10.7%	0.3%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 58.7% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 41.3%	0.3%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU	0.3%
7-1 Miami (OH)M-OH 6-2 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 53.3% Miami (OH)M-OHWestern MichiganWMU 34.8% BuffaloBUFMiami (OH)M-OH 11.9%	0.3%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 Eastern MichiganEMU Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 98.8%	0.2%
8-0 OhioOHIO 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO	0.2%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH OhioOHIO	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHToledoTOL 63.0% OhioOHIOToledoTOL 37.0%	0.2%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 BuffaloBUF ToledoTOL	BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU	0.2%
8-0 OhioOHIO 6-2 Eastern MichiganEMU ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	OhioOHIOToledoTOL	0.2%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 67.6% Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 32.4%	0.2%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 Eastern MichiganEMU ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	OhioOHIOToledoTOL	0.2%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 70.0% OhioOHIOToledoTOL 30.0%	0.2%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 Eastern MichiganEMU OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 69.1% Eastern MichiganEMUToledoTOL 29.9%	0.2%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 BuffaloBUF Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU 75.2% ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU 24.8%	0.2%
8-0 OhioOHIO 6-2 BuffaloBUF Western MichiganWMU	OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU	0.2%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 BuffaloBUF Western MichiganWMU	ToledoTOLWestern MichiganWMU	0.2%
7-1 Western MichiganWMU 6-2 BuffaloBUF OhioOHIO	BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU	0.1%
8-0 OhioOHIO 6-2 Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL	CCG participants not 100% certain Miami (OH)M-OHOhioOHIO 86.6% OhioOHIOToledoTOL 13.4%	0.1%
7-1 BuffaloBUF 6-2 OhioOHIO ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain BuffaloBUFToledoTOL 79.3% BuffaloBUFOhioOHIO 14.9% BuffaloBUFWestern MichiganWMU 5.8%	0.1%
7-1 OhioOHIO 6-2 Eastern MichiganEMU Miami (OH)M-OH ToledoTOL Western MichiganWMU	CCG participants not 100% certain OhioOHIOToledoTOL 95.9% OhioOHIOWestern MichiganWMU 4.0%	0.1%
7-1 ToledoTOL 6-2 BuffaloBUF Eastern MichiganEMU OhioOHIO Western MichiganWMU	BuffaloBUFToledoTOL	0.1%

How Mid-American Conference Tiebreakers Work

See the full Mid-American Conference tiebreaker procedure step-by-step, what this simulation can and can't evaluate, and a link to the conference's official policy, on the Tiebreaker Rules page.