Eastern MichiganEagles
4-5 6th (3-2) in MAC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.2%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Eastern Michigan's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?
Eastern Michigan has a 0.2% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Eastern Michigan's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What is the biggest game this week for Eastern Michigan's Mid-American Conference Championship Game odds?
The biggest swing game for Eastern Michigan's Mid-American Conference Championship Game odds this week isn't even its own: a Sacramento State win would boost them to 1.1%, while a Toledo win would leave them at 0.2%.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/29 | W28-17 | |
| 1 | 9/04 | L21-27 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | L7-35 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | L10-54 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | W29-3 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | W38-14 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | W25-23 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | L14-34 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | L20-24 | |
| 10 | 11/04 | Win prob:45% | |
| 12 | 11/17 | Win prob:11% | |
| 13 | 11/24 | Win prob:80% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 3.8% | 6.2% |
| 5-3 | 37.9% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 48.5% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 9.9% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 3Tuesday, November 3 | |||
| 0.1% (-0.1%) | 0.8% (+0.5%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| Wed, Nov 4Wednesday, November 4 | |||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 1.1% (+0.8%) | ||
| 0.0% (-0.2%) | 0.5% (+0.3%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 4.2% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.5% • Scenario: 45.3%
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02