E Michigan

Eastern MichiganEagles

0-0 T1st (0-0) in MAC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Eastern Michigan's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?

Eastern Michigan has a 3.1% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Eastern Michigan's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

E MichiganSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
8/29
vsSacramento StSAC
Win prob:42%
9/04
vsSan Jose StSJSU
Win prob:51%
9/12
@Michigan StMSU
Win prob:13%
9/19
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:8%
9/26
vsLindenwoodLIN
Win prob:90%
10/03
@MassachusettsMASS
Win prob:50%
10/10
@AkronAKR
Win prob:45%
10/17
vsToledoTOL
Win prob:26%
10/24
@OhioOHIO
Win prob:26%
11/04
vsC MichiganCMU(N)
Win prob:42%
11/17
@W MichiganWMU
Win prob:19%
11/24
vsKentKENT
Win prob:59%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

E MichiganRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.5%
97.7%
6-2
3.1%
62.5%
5-3
10.9%
5.9%
4-4
22.8%
0%
3-5
29.3%
0%
2-6
22.3%
0%
1-7
9.4%
0%
0-8
1.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely E Michigan CCG Opponents

if E Michigan makes the CCG

ToledoToledo
32.2%
Western MichiganW Michigan
27.5%
Miami (OH)Miami OH
17.6%
OhioOhio
14.1%
Sacramento StateSacramento St
8.6%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

E MichiganThis Week's Impact

Game
E MichiganCCG OddsAway
E MichiganCCG OddsHome
Sacramento StSAC@E MichiganEMU
1.1%
(-2.0%)		5.8%
(+2.7%)

Best Winner Combination for E Michigan

E MichiganEastern Michigan

CCG: 7.0% • Scenario: 42.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for E Michigan

E MichiganEastern Michigan

CCG: 7.0% • Scenario: 42.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

E MichiganLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
E Michigan CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Michigan St
100.0%
<0.1%
Wisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
77.6%
0.4%
KentMassachusettsWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacramento StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sacramento StSan Jose StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StSacramento St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StW MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StSan Jose StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
KentOhioWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsToledoWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganLindenwoodWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsMichigan St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioSacramento St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StToledoWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodOhioWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSacramento StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMichigan StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioSan Jose StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganSan Jose StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMassachusettsWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronKentWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacramento StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodW MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StW MichiganWisconsin
97.8%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioWisconsin
92.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StToledoWisconsin
91.2%
<0.1%
AkronW MichiganWisconsin
88.9%
<0.1%
MassachusettsOhioWisconsin
87.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StW Michigan
80.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganOhioWisconsin
80.0%
<0.1%
OhioSacramento StWisconsin
80.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StToledo
75.0%
<0.1%
KentSacramento StWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StW Michigan
75.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganSacramento StWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSacramento St
75.0%
<0.1%
Sacramento StW MichiganWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StW Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronToledoWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronOhioWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
MassachusettsW MichiganWisconsin
62.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganW MichiganWisconsin
61.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioToledo
60.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StOhio
60.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioW Michigan
58.3%
<0.1%
Sacramento StToledoWisconsin
57.1%
<0.1%
OhioToledoWisconsin
53.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StToledoW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
KentToledoWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
KentW MichiganWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganMichigan St
50.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganToledoWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSan Jose StToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentMichigan St
50.0%
<0.1%
OhioW MichiganWisconsin
47.8%
<0.1%
ToledoW MichiganWisconsin
43.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StToledoW Michigan
41.7%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StToledo
40.0%
<0.1%
AkronToledoW Michigan
33.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StSacramento St
33.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StToledo
20.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
50.2%
2.2%
LindenwoodMichigan StSacramento StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsMichigan StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSan Jose StToledoWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMichigan StW MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StOhioSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMassachusettsSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSacramento StSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganLindenwoodW MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronLindenwoodMichigan StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronKentMichigan StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StSacramento StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronLindenwoodSacramento StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KentSacramento StSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMassachusettsToledoWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganMichigan StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodOhioW MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMassachusettsW MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganLindenwoodWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StOhioSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StSan Jose StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganLindenwoodToledoWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSan Jose StToledoWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMichigan StToledoWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganLindenwoodMichigan StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMassachusettsSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganMassachusettsMichigan St
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodOhioSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronKentSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodOhioSacramento StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
KentOhioSan Jose StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSacramento StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodOhioSacramento StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMassachusettsMichigan StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronOhioSacramento StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMichigan StSan Jose StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioSan Jose StWisconsin
97.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StSan Jose StW MichiganWisconsin
97.7%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganMichigan StWisconsin
90.9%
<0.1%
Michigan StSan Jose StToledoWisconsin
90.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganOhioSan Jose StWisconsin
88.9%
<0.1%
AkronMassachusettsMichigan StWisconsin
88.9%
<0.1%
AkronKentMichigan StWisconsin
85.7%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StOhioWisconsin
83.3%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSan Jose StToledo
83.3%
<0.1%
MassachusettsOhioSan Jose StWisconsin
83.3%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StSacramento StWisconsin
80.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentMichigan StWisconsin
80.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacramento StSan Jose StWisconsin
80.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganSacramento StSan Jose StWisconsin
80.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StSacramento StWisconsin
76.9%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StToledoWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSacramento StWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSan Jose StW MichiganWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
KentSan Jose StToledoWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
KentMassachusettsMichigan StWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodMichigan StOhioW Michigan
75.0%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganSan Jose StWisconsin
71.4%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioSacramento StWisconsin
71.1%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StToledoWisconsin
71.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StOhioWisconsin
70.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StSacramento StWisconsin
70.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StW MichiganWisconsin
69.6%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StOhioWisconsin
68.6%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsMichigan StWisconsin
68.4%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StToledoWisconsin
68.4%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StToledoWisconsin
67.4%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StW MichiganWisconsin
67.1%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StW MichiganWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StOhioWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StSacramento StToledo
66.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StSan Jose StToledo
66.7%
<0.1%
C MichiganSan Jose StW MichiganWisconsin
62.5%
<0.1%
OhioSan Jose StToledoWisconsin
62.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioW MichiganWisconsin
60.8%
0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StSan Jose StW Michigan
60.0%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StSan Jose StW Michigan
60.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioSan Jose StToledo
60.0%
<0.1%
KentSan Jose StW MichiganWisconsin
60.0%
<0.1%
AkronMassachusettsMichigan StSan Jose St
60.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StToledoWisconsin
58.3%
<0.1%
AkronSan Jose StW MichiganWisconsin
57.1%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StW MichiganWisconsin
56.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioToledoWisconsin
56.0%
0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsSan Jose StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronOhioSan Jose StW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioSan Jose StW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganSan Jose StToledoWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentMichigan StSacramento St
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSan Jose StW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronOhioSan Jose StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronLindenwoodW MichiganWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodSacramento StW MichiganWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StOhioSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioSacramento StSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganLindenwoodOhioWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StW MichiganWisconsin
47.2%
<0.1%
OhioSan Jose StW MichiganWisconsin
43.8%
<0.1%
Michigan StToledoW MichiganWisconsin
40.5%
0.1%
AkronKentOhioWisconsin
40.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StToledoW MichiganWisconsin
38.9%
<0.1%
Sacramento StSan Jose StW MichiganWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronMassachusettsToledoWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
OhioSacramento StSan Jose StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganMichigan StOhioSan Jose St
33.3%
<0.1%
KentOhioSacramento StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganKentWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsSacramento StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StSan Jose StToledoW Michigan
30.8%
<0.1%
Sacramento StSan Jose StToledoWisconsin
28.6%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsToledoWisconsin
28.6%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsMichigan StSacramento St
25.0%
<0.1%
AkronMassachusettsMichigan StSacramento St
25.0%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StSacramento StW Michigan
22.2%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsMichigan StToledo
20.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusettsMichigan StOhio
20.0%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSacramento StW Michigan
20.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StSacramento StToledo
20.0%
<0.1%
KentMichigan StOhioSacramento St
20.0%
<0.1%
AkronMassachusettsW MichiganWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacramento StW MichiganWisconsin
18.8%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StSacramento StW Michigan
16.7%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganOhioWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSacramento StToledoWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StSacramento StToledo
14.3%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganMichigan StW Michigan
14.3%
<0.1%
KentOhioToledoWisconsin
12.5%
<0.1%
AkronSacramento StToledoWisconsin
12.5%
<0.1%
AkronMichigan StToledoW Michigan
12.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganSacramento StToledoWisconsin
11.1%
<0.1%
AkronOhioW MichiganWisconsin
10.3%
<0.1%
MassachusettsToledoW MichiganWisconsin
10.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMichigan StOhioW Michigan
10.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSacramento StW MichiganWisconsin
8.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentW MichiganWisconsin
8.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioSacramento StW Michigan
8.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganOhioSacramento StWisconsin
7.7%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganW MichiganWisconsin
7.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StSacramento StToledoW Michigan
7.1%
<0.1%
AkronToledoW MichiganWisconsin
7.1%
<0.1%
C MichiganSacramento StW MichiganWisconsin
6.7%
<0.1%
MassachusettsOhioW MichiganWisconsin
6.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganToledoW MichiganWisconsin
5.9%
<0.1%
OhioToledoW MichiganWisconsin
5.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganOhioToledoWisconsin
5.0%
<0.1%
AkronOhioToledoWisconsin
4.8%
<0.1%
OhioSacramento StToledoWisconsin
4.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioToledoW Michigan
3.9%
<0.1%
OhioSacramento StW MichiganWisconsin
2.8%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com