E Michigan

Eastern MichiganEagles

1-2 1st (1-0) in MAC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Eastern Michigan's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?

Eastern Michigan has a 0.6% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Eastern Michigan's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

E MichiganSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
08/29
vsSacramento StSAC
W28-17
19/04
vsSan Jose StSJSU
L21-27
29/12
@Michigan StMSU
L7-35
39/19
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:3%
49/26
vsLindenwoodLIN
Win prob:90%
510/03
@MassachusettsMASS
Win prob:22%
610/10
@AkronAKR
Win prob:35%
710/17
vsToledoTOL
Win prob:12%
810/24
@OhioOHIO
Win prob:18%
1011/04
vsC MichiganCMU(N)
Win prob:52%
1211/17
@W MichiganWMU
Win prob:4%
1311/24
vsKentKENT
Win prob:69%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

E MichiganRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
94.1%
6-2
1.4%
33.9%
5-3
8.4%
0.8%
4-4
24.9%
0%
3-5
36.4%
0%
2-6
23.6%
0%
1-7
5.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible E Michigan CCG Opponents

if E Michigan makes the CCG

WMUW Michigan
59.4%
TOLToledo
29.7%
OHIOOhio
4.7%
MASSMassachusetts
3.1%
M-OHMiami OH
3.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

E MichiganThis Week's Impact

Game
E MichiganCCG OddsAway Wins
E MichiganCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
AkronAKR@MinnesotaMINN
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Iowa StISU
0.6%
(-0.1%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Penn StPSU
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Ohio StOSU
0.6%
(-0.1%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WisconsinWIS
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
WyomingWYO@C MichiganCMU
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
TempleTEM@ToledoTOL
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
Miami OHM-OH@CincinnatiCIN
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
StonehillSTO@MassachusettsMASS
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@LibertyLIB
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@South AlabamaUSA
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
W MichiganWMU@RiceRICE
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
North Dakota StNDSU@Sacramento StSAC
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

E MichiganLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
E Michigan CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Wisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio
100.0%
<0.1%
Massachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
Toledo
80.0%
<0.1%
W Michigan
76.9%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
78.3%
0.1%
MassachusettsWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KentWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronKent
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronC Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
LindenwoodToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioWisconsin
98.6%
<0.1%
AkronWisconsin
97.4%
<0.1%
ToledoWisconsin
95.4%
<0.1%
W MichiganWisconsin
92.2%
<0.1%
AkronMassachusetts
60.0%
<0.1%
KentW Michigan
60.0%
<0.1%
AkronW Michigan
54.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganW Michigan
45.5%
<0.1%
MassachusettsW Michigan
36.8%
<0.1%
MassachusettsToledo
36.4%
<0.1%
OhioW Michigan
36.2%
<0.1%
OhioToledo
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronOhio
33.3%
<0.1%
ToledoW Michigan
16.3%
<0.1%
MassachusettsOhio
14.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

E MichiganCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com