Mountain West Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 56 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-0 New MexicoUNM 2 losses North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	13.3%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 2 losses North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	5.4%
8-0 New MexicoUNM 2 losses North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	3.7%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 2 losses North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	2.1%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	1.9%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	1.8%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 6-2 Air ForceAF UNLVUNLV	Air ForceAFNew MexicoUNM	1.5%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 2 losses North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2 WyomingWYO6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	1.3%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 6-2 UNLVUNLV WyomingWYO	CCG participants not 100% certain New MexicoUNMUNLVUNLV 73.2% New MexicoUNMWyomingWYO 26.8%	1.0%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 2 losses NevadaNEV6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	0.7%
2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2	Air ForceAFNorth Dakota StateNDSU	0.7%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 2 losses New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV	0.6%
2 losses New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2	CCG participants not 100% certain North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV 73.2% New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU 26.8%	0.6%
6-2 Air ForceAF New MexicoUNM UNLVUNLV	CCG participants not 100% certain Air ForceAFNew MexicoUNM 58.5% Air ForceAFUNLVUNLV 41.5%	0.5%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	0.5%
2 losses New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2 WyomingWYO6-2	CCG participants not 100% certain North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV 74.6% New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU 23.1% North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO 2.2%	0.4%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 6-2 Air ForceAF WyomingWYO	New MexicoUNMWyomingWYO	0.4%
2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	Air ForceAFNorth Dakota StateNDSU	0.4%
6-2 New MexicoUNM UNLVUNLV WyomingWYO	CCG participants not 100% certain New MexicoUNMUNLVUNLV 65.5% UNLVUNLVWyomingWYO 34.5%	0.4%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV	0.3%
2 losses New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	CCG participants not 100% certain North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO 72.6% New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU 27.4%	0.3%
2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	CCG participants not 100% certain North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO 50.2% New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU 39.7% Air ForceAFNorth Dakota StateNDSU 10.1%	0.3%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 6-2 Air ForceAF New MexicoUNM	Air ForceAFUNLVUNLV	0.3%
6-2 Air ForceAF New MexicoUNM WyomingWYO	CCG participants not 100% certain Air ForceAFWyomingWYO 49.0% Air ForceAFNew MexicoUNM 37.8% New MexicoUNMWyomingWYO 13.1%	0.2%
2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2 WyomingWYO6-2	North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO	0.2%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 2 losses New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV	0.2%
6-2 Air ForceAF New MexicoUNM UNLVUNLV WyomingWYO	Air ForceAFWyomingWYO	0.1%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 6-2 New MexicoUNM WyomingWYO	UNLVUNLVWyomingWYO	0.1%
2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 NevadaNEV6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	Air ForceAFNorth Dakota StateNDSU	0.1%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 2 losses NevadaNEV6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	0.1%
7-1 WyomingWYO 2 losses New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO	0.1%
2 losses NevadaNEV6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	NevadaNEVNorth Dakota StateNDSU	<0.1%
2 losses NevadaNEV6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2	NevadaNEVNorth Dakota StateNDSU	<0.1%
6-2 Air ForceAF NevadaNEV New MexicoUNM	Air ForceAFNevadaNEV	<0.1%
2 losses NevadaNEV6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	New MexicoUNMNorth Dakota StateNDSU	<0.1%
6-2 NevadaNEV New MexicoUNM UNLVUNLV	NevadaNEVUNLVUNLV	<0.1%
7-1 New MexicoUNM 6-2 NevadaNEV WyomingWYO	CCG participants not 100% certain NevadaNEVNew MexicoUNM 66.8% New MexicoUNMWyomingWYO 33.2%	<0.1%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV	<0.1%
2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2	Air ForceAFNorth Dakota StateNDSU	<0.1%
6-2 NevadaNEV New MexicoUNM WyomingWYO	CCG participants not 100% certain New MexicoUNMWyomingWYO 63.1% NevadaNEVNew MexicoUNM 36.9%	<0.1%
2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2 WyomingWYO6-2	CCG participants not 100% certain North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV 71.2% North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO 21.0% Air ForceAFNorth Dakota StateNDSU 7.8%	<0.1%
6-2 Air ForceAF UNLVUNLV WyomingWYO	CCG participants not 100% certain Air ForceAFUNLVUNLV 63.8% Air ForceAFWyomingWYO 18.3% UNLVUNLVWyomingWYO 17.9%	<0.1%
2 losses North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2 WyomingWYO6-2	CCG participants not 100% certain North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV 85.1% North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO 14.9%	<0.1%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 2 losses North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV	<0.1%
7-1 WyomingWYO 6-2 Air ForceAF New MexicoUNM	Air ForceAFWyomingWYO	<0.1%
7-1 WyomingWYO 2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2	North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO	<0.1%
2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO	<0.1%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 2 losses Air ForceAF6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 WyomingWYO6-2	North Dakota StateNDSUUNLVUNLV	<0.1%
7-1 WyomingWYO 2 losses New MexicoUNM6-2 North Dakota StateNDSU7-2 UNLVUNLV6-2	North Dakota StateNDSUWyomingWYO	<0.1%
7-1 UNLVUNLV 6-2 Air ForceAF WyomingWYO	UNLVUNLVWyomingWYO	<0.1%

How Mountain West Conference Tiebreakers Work

See the full Mountain West Conference tiebreaker procedure step-by-step, what this simulation can and can't evaluate, and a link to the conference's official policy, on the Tiebreaker Rules page.