Wyoming

WyomingCowboys

1-1 T3rd (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Wyoming's probability of making the Mountain West Conference Championship Game?

Wyoming has a 0.1% chance to reach the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Wyoming's Mountain West Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

WyomingSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
@Colorado StCSU
L13-35
29/12
vsNorthern ColoradoUNCO
W21-13
39/19
@C MichiganCMU
Win prob:46%
49/26
vsHawaiiHAW
Win prob:29%
510/03
@North Dakota StNDSU
Win prob:4%
610/09
@San Jose StSJSU
Win prob:23%
710/17
vsN IllinoisNIU
Win prob:60%
810/23
vsAir ForceAF
Win prob:23%
1011/07
@UNLVUNLV
Win prob:11%
1111/14
@UTEPUTEP
Win prob:41%
1211/21
vsNew MexicoUNM
Win prob:7%
1311/28
vsUConnCONN
Win prob:37%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WyomingRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.0%
100.0%
6-2
0.1%
50.4%
5-3
1.5%
2.3%
4-4
7.5%
0%
3-5
21.9%
0%
2-6
34.6%
0%
1-7
26.7%
0%
0-8
7.7%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Wyoming CCG Opponents

if Wyoming makes the CCG

NDSUNorth Dakota St
50.0%
UNMNew Mexico
33.3%
NEVNevada
8.3%
UNLVUNLV
8.3%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WyomingThis Week's Impact

Game
WyomingCCG OddsAway Wins
WyomingCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
WyomingWYO@C MichiganCMU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@MichiganMICH
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
NevadaNEV@MTSUMTSU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@OklahomaOU
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
N IllinoisNIU@ArizonaARIZ
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
North Dakota StNDSU@Sacramento StSAC
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Fresno StFRES@San Jose StSJSU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WyomingLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Wyoming CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
UNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
UTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
C Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
UConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Air Force
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
23.5%
<0.1%
New MexicoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
UNLVUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
UConnUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota StSan Jose St
93.3%
<0.1%
HawaiiNorth Dakota St
85.7%
<0.1%
North Dakota StUTEP
85.7%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose St
83.3%
<0.1%
San Jose StUNLV
77.8%
<0.1%
HawaiiUNLV
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNew Mexico
68.8%
<0.1%
HawaiiNew Mexico
66.7%
<0.1%
New MexicoUTEP
66.7%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNorth Dakota St
66.7%
<0.1%
North Dakota StUNLV
60.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceNorth Dakota St
58.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaii
50.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLV
45.5%
<0.1%
New MexicoNorth Dakota St
23.5%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
7.4%
0.2%
C MichiganNorth Dakota StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUConnUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisSan Jose StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceUConnUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganHawaiiSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganHawaiiUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganN IllinoisNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceC MichiganUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Jose StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
UConnUNLVUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganUConnUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganNew MexicoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiUConnUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceC MichiganSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganN IllinoisUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceN IllinoisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiN IllinoisSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganN IllinoisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganSan Jose StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganUConnUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceC MichiganHawaii
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota StUConnUTEP
88.9%
<0.1%
C MichiganSan Jose StUNLV
83.3%
<0.1%
North Dakota StSan Jose StUConn
80.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNew MexicoUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceUConnUNLV
75.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganNorth Dakota StUTEP
72.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiUConnUNLV
72.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiNorth Dakota StUConn
69.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceC MichiganUNLV
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceC MichiganNorth Dakota St
65.2%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNorth Dakota StUConn
62.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganUNLVUTEP
60.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganHawaiiUNLV
60.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganHawaiiNew Mexico
58.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceNorth Dakota StUConn
58.1%
<0.1%
C MichiganHawaiiNorth Dakota St
57.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceNew MexicoUConn
53.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganNorth Dakota StUNLV
53.1%
<0.1%
North Dakota StUConnUNLV
52.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StUConnUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNew MexicoUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganN IllinoisNew Mexico
50.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisUConnUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganNew MexicoSan Jose St
45.5%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose StUConn
40.9%
<0.1%
C MichiganNew MexicoUTEP
40.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNew MexicoUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUConnUNLV
39.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceC MichiganNew Mexico
37.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganNew MexicoNorth Dakota St
34.4%
<0.1%
HawaiiSan Jose StUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganNew MexicoUNLV
32.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiN IllinoisNew Mexico
28.6%
<0.1%
New MexicoNorth Dakota StUConn
26.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaiiUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceSan Jose StUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiUNLVUTEP
16.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
16.1%
<0.1%
HawaiiNorth Dakota StUTEP
14.8%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
14.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaiiNorth Dakota St
14.3%
<0.1%
North Dakota StSan Jose StUTEP
11.5%
<0.1%
San Jose StUNLVUTEP
11.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceN IllinoisNorth Dakota St
9.1%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose StUTEP
8.3%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNew MexicoUNLV
7.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
7.3%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLVUTEP
5.6%
<0.1%
North Dakota StSan Jose StUNLV
5.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceNew MexicoSan Jose St
3.6%
<0.1%
HawaiiNorth Dakota StUNLV
2.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceNew MexicoUNLV
2.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceNorth Dakota StUNLV
2.2%
<0.1%
HawaiiNew MexicoUNLV
1.8%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNew MexicoNorth Dakota St
1.8%
<0.1%
HawaiiNew MexicoNorth Dakota St
1.3%
<0.1%
New MexicoNorth Dakota StUTEP
1.2%
<0.1%
New MexicoNorth Dakota StUNLV
1.2%
<0.1%
New MexicoNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
0.9%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WyomingCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com