PAC 12 Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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20 of 20 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-0 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Fresno StateFRES Oregon StateORST	Boise StateBOISFresno StateFRES	11.0%
6-1 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Fresno StateFRES Oregon StateORST	Boise StateBOISFresno StateFRES	2.6%
6-1 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Oregon StateORST Texas StateTXST	Boise StateBOISTexas StateTXST	2.5%
6-1 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Oregon StateORST Utah StateUSU	Boise StateBOISUtah StateUSU	0.5%
6-1 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Oregon StateORST San Diego StateSDSU	Boise StateBOISOregon StateORST	0.4%
7-0 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Texas StateTXST Utah StateUSU	Boise StateBOISTexas StateTXST	0.4%
6-1 Oregon StateORST 5-2 Boise StateBOIS Fresno StateFRES	Boise StateBOISOregon StateORST	0.2%
5-2 Boise StateBOIS Oregon StateORST Texas StateTXST	CCG participants not 100% certain Boise StateBOISTexas StateTXST 73.9% Boise StateBOISOregon StateORST 25.0% Oregon StateORSTTexas StateTXST 1.1%	0.1%
6-1 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Fresno StateFRES Oregon StateORST San Diego StateSDSU	Boise StateBOISSan Diego StateSDSU	0.1%
6-1 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 San Diego StateSDSU Texas StateTXST	Boise StateBOISSan Diego StateSDSU	0.1%
6-1 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Texas StateTXST Utah StateUSU	Boise StateBOISTexas StateTXST	0.1%
5-2 Boise StateBOIS Fresno StateFRES Oregon StateORST	CCG participants not 100% certain Boise StateBOISFresno StateFRES 86.2% Boise StateBOISOregon StateORST 13.8%	0.1%
6-1 Oregon StateORST 5-2 Boise StateBOIS San Diego StateSDSU	Oregon StateORSTSan Diego StateSDSU	0.1%
6-1 Boise StateBOIS 5-2 Fresno StateFRES San Diego StateSDSU	Boise StateBOISSan Diego StateSDSU	0.1%
5-2 Boise StateBOIS Oregon StateORST San Diego StateSDSU	CCG participants not 100% certain Oregon StateORSTSan Diego StateSDSU 69.6% Boise StateBOISSan Diego StateSDSU 25.3% Boise StateBOISOregon StateORST 5.1%	<0.1%
6-1 Oregon StateORST 5-2 Boise StateBOIS Fresno StateFRES San Diego StateSDSU	Oregon StateORSTSan Diego StateSDSU	<0.1%
5-2 Boise StateBOIS Fresno StateFRES Oregon StateORST San Diego StateSDSU	CCG participants not 100% certain Oregon StateORSTSan Diego StateSDSU 82.7% Boise StateBOISSan Diego StateSDSU 17.3%	<0.1%
5-2 Boise StateBOIS Oregon StateORST San Diego StateSDSU Texas StateTXST	Oregon StateORSTSan Diego StateSDSU	<0.1%
5-2 Boise StateBOIS Oregon StateORST Utah StateUSU	CCG participants not 100% certain Boise StateBOISOregon StateORST 55.9% Boise StateBOISUtah StateUSU 22.7% Oregon StateORSTUtah StateUSU 21.4%	<0.1%
5-2 Boise StateBOIS San Diego StateSDSU Texas StateTXST	Boise StateBOISSan Diego StateSDSU	<0.1%

How PAC 12 Tiebreakers Work

See the full PAC 12 tiebreaker procedure step-by-step, what this simulation can and can't evaluate, and a link to the conference's official policy, on the Tiebreaker Rules page.