Alabama

AlabamaCrimson Tide

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2024-08-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

47.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

AlabamaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsWKUWKU
Win prob:99%
29/07
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:97%
39/14
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:88%
59/28
vsGeorgiaUGA
Win prob:48%
610/05
@VanderbiltVAN
Win prob:97%
710/12
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:94%
810/19
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:75%
910/26
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:85%
1111/09
@LSULSU
Win prob:69%
1211/16
vsMercerMER
Win prob:90%
1311/23
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:63%
1411/30
vsAuburnAUB
Win prob:95%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

AlabamaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
11.7%
100.0%
7-1
32.2%
90.1%
6-2
33.8%
19.0%
5-3
17.0%
0.1%
4-4
4.6%
0%
3-5
0.6%
0%
2-6
0.1%
0%
1-7
0%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Alabama CCG Opponents

if Alabama makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
52.9%
TexasTexas
27.5%
OklahomaOklahoma
8.6%
LSULSU
7.5%
MissouriMissouri
3.5%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

AlabamaThis Week's Impact

Game
AlabamaCCG OddsAway
AlabamaCCG OddsHome

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

AlabamaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Alabama CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
8.9%
Any 1 loss
91.1%
26.9%
Wisconsin
100.0%
1.3%
South Florida
100.0%
0.3%
Mercer
100.0%
1.0%
WKU
100.0%
0.1%
South Carolina
98.5%
0.5%
Auburn
98.4%
0.5%
Tennessee
97.3%
2.9%
Vanderbilt
94.3%
0.3%
Missouri
94.2%
1.5%
Oklahoma
92.3%
5.2%
LSU
92.1%
3.9%
Georgia
84.4%
9.5%
Any 2 losses
34.9%
33.2%
MercerWisconsin
100.0%
0.1%
MercerSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercer
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
WKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
VanderbiltWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeWKU
97.5%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennessee
95.3%
<0.1%
MercerTennessee
95.2%
0.4%
MercerMissouri
94.9%
0.2%
TennesseeWisconsin
94.8%
0.4%
AuburnWisconsin
94.4%
<0.1%
LSUSouth Florida
93.8%
0.1%
MissouriWisconsin
93.6%
0.2%
LSUWisconsin
93.5%
0.5%
OklahomaSouth Florida
92.7%
0.2%
LSUMercer
92.5%
0.5%
OklahomaWKU
92.5%
<0.1%
VanderbiltWisconsin
92.1%
<0.1%
LSUWKU
91.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaWisconsin
91.1%
0.7%
MercerOklahoma
90.6%
0.5%
MissouriSouth Florida
89.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaWisconsin
85.7%
1.3%
GeorgiaMercer
84.7%
1.0%
GeorgiaSouth Florida
83.8%
0.3%
South FloridaVanderbilt
80.0%
<0.1%
MissouriWKU
77.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaWKU
77.1%
0.2%
AuburnVanderbilt
64.3%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth Carolina
57.6%
<0.1%
South CarolinaVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennessee
44.4%
0.2%
AuburnTennessee
42.1%
0.2%
AuburnMissouri
39.4%
0.1%
MissouriSouth Carolina
36.6%
0.1%
AuburnLSU
35.2%
0.2%
TennesseeVanderbilt
32.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
31.6%
0.3%
OklahomaVanderbilt
31.4%
0.1%
MissouriVanderbilt
29.7%
<0.1%
LSUSouth Carolina
28.3%
0.2%
MissouriTennessee
27.5%
0.5%
AuburnOklahoma
27.1%
0.3%
AuburnGeorgia
27.0%
0.6%
GeorgiaSouth Carolina
26.8%
0.6%
LSUTennessee
25.7%
1.3%
LSUVanderbilt
24.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaVanderbilt
23.2%
0.2%
GeorgiaTennessee
22.1%
3.3%
LSUMissouri
22.0%
0.7%
OklahomaTennessee
20.5%
1.7%
MissouriOklahoma
18.8%
0.9%
LSUOklahoma
18.7%
2.3%
GeorgiaMissouri
17.0%
1.6%
GeorgiaLSU
15.3%
4.3%
GeorgiaOklahoma
10.4%
5.7%
Any 3 losses
24.8%
8.1%
LSUMercerWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennesseeWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerTennesseeWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth CarolinaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth FloridaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth FloridaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth FloridaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaVanderbiltWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnVanderbiltWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerTennesseeWisconsin
98.1%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriWisconsin
94.7%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaWisconsin
94.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerWKU
92.3%
<0.1%
LSUMercerWisconsin
92.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth Florida
89.5%
<0.1%
LSUWKUWisconsin
88.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth FloridaWisconsin
87.5%
<0.1%
MercerVanderbiltWisconsin
87.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerWisconsin
87.4%
0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaWisconsin
86.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaWKUWisconsin
86.4%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth Florida
85.7%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaWisconsin
85.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerSouth Carolina
75.0%
<0.1%
MissouriWKUWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerVanderbilt
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth FloridaTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
South CarolinaSouth FloridaTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerTennessee
56.5%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOklahomaSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennesseeWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbiltWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUVanderbiltWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaVanderbiltWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaTennessee
47.1%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeWisconsin
46.2%
<0.1%
MissouriTennesseeWisconsin
45.2%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth CarolinaWisconsin
42.9%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriTennessee
41.3%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaSouth Florida
40.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth Carolina
40.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaWisconsin
38.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaVanderbilt
37.5%
<0.1%
LSUMercerVanderbilt
37.5%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaWisconsin
37.5%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUSouth Florida
37.5%
<0.1%
LSUVanderbiltWisconsin
35.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
TennesseeVanderbiltWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriVanderbiltWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUMercer
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUTennesseeWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaWisconsin
32.4%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth FloridaTennessee
31.8%
<0.1%
AuburnOklahomaWisconsin
31.7%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriSouth Florida
31.6%
<0.1%
LSUMercerTennessee
31.0%
0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaWisconsin
30.8%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
30.0%
<0.1%
LSUTennesseeWisconsin
29.6%
0.2%
MissouriTennesseeWKU
28.6%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
28.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth Carolina
28.4%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMercer
28.4%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaSouth Florida
27.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
27.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbiltWisconsin
26.9%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaTennessee
26.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaVanderbiltWisconsin
26.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaWisconsin
25.4%
<0.1%
LSUMercerMissouri
25.4%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaWisconsin
25.2%
0.1%
AuburnMissouriSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTennesseeWisconsin
23.4%
0.2%
GeorgiaMercerTennessee
23.1%
0.3%
MercerTennesseeVanderbilt
23.1%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennesseeWisconsin
22.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUWKU
21.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaTennessee
21.1%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriWisconsin
20.2%
<0.1%
LSUMercerOklahoma
20.0%
0.2%
AuburnOklahomaWKU
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaWKU
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUSouth Florida
19.8%
0.1%
GeorgiaTennesseeWisconsin
19.5%
0.5%
MercerMissouriOklahoma
19.4%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUWisconsin
19.4%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaWKU
19.4%
<0.1%
OklahomaTennesseeWKU
19.1%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaSouth Florida
18.5%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth Carolina
18.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennesseeWKU
17.6%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth FloridaTennessee
17.3%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaWisconsin
16.7%
0.3%
MercerOklahomaTennessee
16.3%
0.2%
GeorgiaMissouriSouth Florida
15.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouri
15.8%
0.1%
GeorgiaLSUWisconsin
15.5%
0.6%
GeorgiaLSUMercer
15.0%
0.5%
LSUMercerSouth Carolina
15.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriWisconsin
14.8%
0.2%
AuburnMercerOklahoma
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaWKU
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSouth Florida
13.1%
0.2%
GeorgiaMercerOklahoma
11.3%
0.5%
MercerOklahomaVanderbilt
11.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaWisconsin
9.4%
0.8%
GeorgiaMercerVanderbilt
9.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaWKU
8.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriWKU
8.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaSouth Carolina
3.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaVanderbilt
0.7%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
18.9%
0.6%
GeorgiaMercerSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUMercerWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbiltWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaTennesseeWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerSouth FloridaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaSouth FloridaVanderbiltWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerMissouriSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerSouth CarolinaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth FloridaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerMissouriSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth CarolinaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerVanderbiltWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerMissouriWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTennesseeWKUWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth FloridaTennesseeWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth CarolinaWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTennesseeWKUWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth FloridaTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriOklahomaSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaWKUWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth FloridaTennessee
40.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennesseeWKUWisconsin
37.5%
<0.1%
LSUMercerTennesseeWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMercerSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMercerWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaSouth FloridaWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriTennesseeWisconsin
30.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerTennesseeWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerOklahomaWisconsin
22.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaTennesseeWisconsin
22.2%
<0.1%
LSUMercerMissouriWisconsin
22.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUWKUWisconsin
21.4%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriOklahomaWisconsin
21.4%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaTennesseeWisconsin
20.7%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaVanderbiltWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerVanderbiltWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUSouth FloridaWisconsin
18.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriWKUWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMercerWisconsin
15.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMercerWisconsin
13.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerOklahomaWisconsin
10.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerOklahomaWKU
10.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouriWisconsin
9.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth CarolinaWisconsin
9.1%
<0.1%
LSUMercerOklahomaSouth Florida
8.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMercerSouth Florida
7.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaWKUWisconsin
7.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUVanderbiltWisconsin
6.7%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaSouth FloridaWisconsin
5.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSouth FloridaWisconsin
5.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouriTennessee
1.7%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com