SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
GeorgiaUGA	100%	90.2%	18.6%	<0.1%	62.6%
AlabamaALA	100%	90.1%	19.0%	<0.1%	47.2%
TexasTEX	99.9%	66.9%	5.5%	<0.1%	40.8%
OklahomaOU	100%	90.7%	28.9%	0.1%	15.4%
LSULSU	99.8%	59.0%	4.5%	<0.1%	15.3%
MissouriMIZ	99.0%	50.4%	2.5%	<0.1%	7.3%
TennesseeTENN	100%	75.4%	4.5%	-	4.7%
Texas A&MTA&M	99.2%	54.1%	3.2%	-	3.8%
Ole MissMISS	99.0%	67.4%	5.1%	-	1.7%
KentuckyUK	100%	70.2%	5.2%	-	0.9%
South CarolinaSC	100%	77.4%	12.3%	<0.1%	0.2%
AuburnAUB	100%	87.5%	14.3%	<0.1%	0.1%
FloridaFLA	-	100%	23.5%	<0.1%	<0.1%
ArkansasARK	-	33.3%	15.3%	-	<0.1%
Mississippi StateMSST	-	100%	14.3%	-	<0.1%
VanderbiltVAN	-	-	-	-	-

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
GeorgiaUGA(0-0)	20.1%	41.2%	28.7%	8.6%	1.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	6.7
TexasTEX(0-0)	13.6%	37.8%	33.2%	12.7%	2.4%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.5
AlabamaALA(0-0)	11.7%	32.2%	33.8%	17.0%	4.6%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
LSULSU(0-0)	3.5%	17.6%	32.0%	28.5%	14.0%	3.8%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.5
MissouriMIZ(0-0)	1.1%	10.9%	28.6%	33.2%	19.3%	5.8%	1.0%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.2
OklahomaOU(0-0)	1.3%	8.5%	22.0%	30.2%	24.0%	10.8%	2.8%	0.4%	<0.1%	4.9
TennesseeTENN(0-0)	0.3%	4.5%	20.9%	37.2%	26.5%	9.0%	1.5%	0.1%	0.0%	4.8
Texas A&MTA&M(0-0)	0.6%	4.9%	16.5%	28.1%	27.3%	16.1%	5.5%	1.0%	<0.1%	4.5
Ole MissMISS(0-0)	0.1%	1.7%	9.3%	23.6%	31.2%	22.8%	9.2%	1.9%	0.2%	4.0
KentuckyUK(0-0)	<0.1%	0.7%	6.0%	20.7%	32.6%	26.6%	11.1%	2.1%	0.1%	3.8
AuburnAUB(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.6%	4.9%	18.8%	34.4%	29.9%	10.3%	1.1%	2.8
South CarolinaSC(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	1.0%	5.6%	17.3%	30.4%	29.3%	14.0%	2.3%	2.7
FloridaFLA(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	1.5%	7.7%	21.6%	33.4%	27.0%	8.6%	2.0
Mississippi StateMSST(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.9%	6.0%	20.3%	35.3%	28.8%	8.6%	1.9
ArkansasARK(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	1.2%	5.9%	17.8%	32.1%	30.6%	12.2%	1.8
VanderbiltVAN(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.5%	14.0%	39.6%	43.7%	0.8

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com