Kennesaw StateOwls

0-1 T1st (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

40.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	@UTSAUTSA	L16-28
2	9/07	vsLouisianaUL	Win prob:56%
3	9/14	@San José StateSJSU	Win prob:34%
5	9/28	vsUT MartinUTM	Win prob:90%
6	10/04	vsJacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:63%
8	10/15	@Middle TennesseeMTSU	Win prob:54%
9	10/23	vsLibertyLIB	Win prob:45%
10	10/30	@Western KentuckyWKU	Win prob:65%
11	11/09	@UTEPUTEP	Win prob:76%
12	11/16	vsSam HoustonSHSU	Win prob:65%
13	11/23	vsFlorida InternationalFIU	Win prob:91%
14	11/30	@Louisiana TechLT	Win prob:74%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	3.3%	100.0%
7-1	14.9%	99.1%
6-2	28.2%	70.0%
5-3	28.4%	10.2%
4-4	17.3%	0.0%
3-5	6.4%	0%
2-6	1.3%	0%
1-7	0.2%	0%
0-8	0.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

44.5%

17.5%

14.6%

12.9%

10.5%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Southern UtahSUU@UTEPUTEP	40.3% (-0.3%)	40.7% (+0.0%)
LibertyLIB@New Mexico StateNMSU	40.9% (+0.2%)	40.3% (-0.4%)
Eastern KentuckyEKU@Western KentuckyWKU	40.3% (-0.4%)	40.7% (+0.0%)
Central MichiganCMU@Florida InternationalFIU	40.6% (-0.1%)	40.9% (+0.3%)
Jacksonville StateJXST@LouisvilleLOU	40.9% (+0.3%)	40.6% (-0.1%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@Ole MissMISS	41.3% (+0.6%)	40.6% (-0.1%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@UCFUCF	40.7% (+0.0%)	40.7% (-0.0%)
LouisianaUL@Kennesaw StateKENN	40.6% (-0.1%)	40.7% (+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Southern Utah

Eastern Kentucky

Florida International

Middle Tennessee

Sam Houston

Kennesaw State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

UTEP

Liberty

CCG: 40.9% • Scenario: 55.6%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

0.6%

Any 1 loss

99.6%

4.2%

100.0%

0.4%

100.0%

1.1%

100.0%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

99.7%

0.4%

99.7%

0.3%

99.7%

0.3%

99.6%

0.5%

99.4%

0.2%

98.4%

0.7%

Any 2 losses

88.0%

13.2%

100.0%

0.9%

100.0%

0.6%

100.0%

0.1%

100.0%

0.2%

100.0%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

0.2%

100.0%

0.3%

100.0%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

99.7%

0.4%

99.7%

0.9%

99.5%

0.4%

99.2%

0.7%

98.8%

0.7%

98.6%

<0.1%

98.5%

0.3%

98.5%

0.6%

97.7%

<0.1%

97.7%

<0.1%

97.5%

1.3%

96.3%

0.1%

95.2%

<0.1%

92.9%

<0.1%

91.2%

0.1%

90.1%

<0.1%

86.5%

<0.1%

86.1%

<0.1%

85.0%

<0.1%

83.6%

0.1%

82.1%

0.2%

81.5%

0.1%

80.9%

<0.1%

80.7%

0.1%

80.6%

0.2%

79.8%

0.1%

78.1%

0.3%

75.5%

0.1%

74.4%

0.2%

74.2%

0.3%

73.7%

0.2%

71.9%

0.4%

68.0%

0.3%

67.7%

0.3%

59.4%

0.2%

51.3%

0.6%

50.3%

0.4%

49.3%

0.4%

Any 3 losses

63.3%

23.3%

100.0%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

99.8%

0.5%

99.7%

0.3%

99.3%

0.7%

98.7%

0.5%

98.6%

0.5%

98.4%

<0.1%

98.4%

<0.1%

98.1%

1.0%

98.1%

0.2%

97.4%

<0.1%

96.4%

<0.1%

96.3%

<0.1%

96.2%

<0.1%

95.8%

0.1%

95.0%

<0.1%

94.7%

<0.1%

94.7%

0.2%

94.6%

<0.1%

91.7%

<0.1%

91.0%

0.2%

90.9%

<0.1%

90.5%

<0.1%

90.5%

<0.1%

88.3%

<0.1%

88.2%

<0.1%

87.5%

0.1%

86.7%

<0.1%

85.8%

0.3%

85.7%

<0.1%

84.6%

<0.1%

84.2%

<0.1%

84.1%

0.2%

83.9%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

82.6%

0.4%

82.3%

<0.1%

81.2%

0.1%

81.0%

<0.1%

80.9%

0.5%

80.7%

<0.1%

80.7%

0.2%

80.7%

0.2%

80.0%

0.1%

79.5%

0.4%

79.4%

0.1%

79.0%

0.2%

78.8%

0.1%

77.9%

0.4%

77.6%

0.2%

77.4%

0.4%

76.9%

<0.1%

76.7%

<0.1%

76.7%

0.2%

76.5%

0.2%

76.1%

0.3%

75.8%

0.2%

75.6%

0.7%

75.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

74.2%

<0.1%

74.1%

<0.1%

73.9%

<0.1%

73.1%

0.5%

71.3%

0.1%

70.8%

<0.1%

70.3%

<0.1%

68.8%

<0.1%

68.2%

0.2%

66.2%

0.6%

63.3%

0.5%

61.3%

<0.1%

60.0%

0.1%

59.8%

0.2%

57.7%

1.2%

57.4%

0.4%

57.1%

<0.1%

56.6%

0.4%

53.6%

<0.1%

52.5%

<0.1%

52.0%

0.8%

51.9%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

47.9%

<0.1%

47.3%

0.7%

46.4%

0.4%

46.3%

0.3%

40.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

32.3%

<0.1%

31.8%

<0.1%

31.8%

<0.1%

30.0%

<0.1%

29.7%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

22.9%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

21.9%

<0.1%

20.6%

0.1%

19.5%

<0.1%

18.8%

<0.1%

18.4%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

17.3%

<0.1%

17.2%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.0%

0.1%

15.0%

<0.1%

14.5%

<0.1%

13.8%

<0.1%

13.0%

<0.1%

12.9%

0.1%

12.5%

0.3%

12.3%

<0.1%

11.4%

<0.1%

10.8%

0.2%

10.7%

<0.1%

10.7%

<0.1%

10.1%

0.2%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.7%

0.2%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.7%

<0.1%

7.9%

0.2%

7.7%

0.2%

7.4%

0.1%

6.9%

0.1%

6.6%

0.2%

6.0%

0.1%

5.9%

<0.1%

5.7%

0.2%

5.6%

<0.1%

5.5%

0.1%

5.0%

0.1%

4.7%

0.3%

4.5%

0.3%

4.0%

<0.1%

3.4%

0.2%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com