WKU

Western KentuckyHilltoppers

0-1 T1st (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

WKUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
@AlabamaALA
L0-63
29/07
vsEastern KentuckyEKU
Win prob:90%
39/14
@MTSUMTSU
Win prob:32%
49/21
vsToledoTOL
Win prob:30%
59/28
@Boston CollegeBC
Win prob:25%
710/10
vsUTEPUTEP
Win prob:70%
810/16
@Sam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:28%
1010/30
vsKennesawKENN
Win prob:35%
1111/09
@New Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:28%
1211/16
vsLouisiana TechLT
Win prob:68%
1311/23
@LibertyLIB
Win prob:15%
1411/30
vsJacksonville StJXST
Win prob:40%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WKURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.4%
100.0%
6-2
3.0%
75.1%
5-3
10.9%
10.9%
4-4
24.0%
0%
3-5
30.7%
0%
2-6
21.9%
0%
1-7
7.9%
0%
0-8
1.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely WKU CCG Opponents

if WKU makes the CCG

LibertyLiberty
45.6%
Kennesaw StateKennesaw
20.1%
New Mexico StateNew Mexico St
11.6%
Sam HoustonSam Houston St
11.6%
Jacksonville StateJacksonville St
11.0%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WKUThis Week's Impact

Game
WKUCCG OddsAway
WKUCCG OddsHome
Southern UtahSUU@UTEPUTEP
4.1%
(+0.3%)		3.9%
(-0.0%)
LibertyLIB@New Mexico StNMSU
3.9%
(-0.0%)		3.9%
(+0.0%)
Eastern KentuckyEKU@WKUWKU
3.9%
(+0.0%)		3.9%
(+0.0%)
C MichiganCMU@Florida IntlFIU
3.9%
(-0.0%)		3.9%
(+0.0%)
Jacksonville StJXST@LouisvilleLOU
3.8%
(-0.0%)		3.9%
(+0.0%)
MTSUMTSU@MississippiMISS
3.8%
(-0.1%)		3.9%
(+0.0%)
Sam Houston StSHSU@UCFUCF
4.0%
(+0.1%)		3.9%
(-0.0%)
LouisianaUL@KennesawKENN
3.9%
(+0.0%)		3.9%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for WKU

Southern UtahSouthern UtahEastern KentuckyEastern KentuckyFlorida IntlFlorida InternationalJacksonville StJacksonville StateMTSUMiddle TennesseeKennesawKennesaw State

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for WKU

Southern UtahSouthern UtahWKUWestern KentuckyLouisvilleLouisville

CCG: 4.5% • Scenario: 7.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WKULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
WKU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
87.7%
0.4%
Eastern KentuckyJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLiberty
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckySam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
ToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyLiberty
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSU
87.5%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSU
86.4%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico St
81.8%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico St
77.8%
<0.1%
New Mexico StSam Houston St
75.0%
<0.1%
KennesawSam Houston St
75.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSam Houston St
75.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLiberty
69.6%
<0.1%
LibertySam Houston St
68.2%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSU
66.7%
<0.1%
New Mexico StUTEP
66.7%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston St
60.0%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico St
60.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLiberty
58.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesaw
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
57.3%
1.9%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNew Mexico StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeEastern KentuckyJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeEastern KentuckyUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSUUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNew Mexico StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMTSUToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSUToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeSam Houston StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyKennesawUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyNew Mexico StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyLibertyToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyKennesawToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeEastern KentuckyMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSam Houston StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeEastern KentuckyKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeEastern KentuckyNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyLibertyUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeEastern KentuckyLiberty
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeEastern KentuckyToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyKennesawSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyKennesawMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyJacksonville StMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMTSUSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeEastern KentuckySam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyJacksonville StKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyMTSUNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StMTSU
92.9%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StToledo
90.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StNew Mexico St
90.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeSam Houston StUTEP
90.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
88.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechMTSU
87.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawMTSU
86.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StSam Houston StToledo
85.7%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUToledo
85.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNew Mexico StSam Houston St
85.2%
<0.1%
KennesawSam Houston StToledo
85.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StToledo
84.6%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston StToledo
84.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StKennesaw
83.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyLouisiana Tech
83.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawToledo
83.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNew Mexico StUTEP
83.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechSam Houston St
80.0%
<0.1%
LibertyToledoUTEP
80.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StSam Houston StToledo
79.4%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUToledo
79.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUToledo
77.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSUSam Houston St
77.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StLiberty
76.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawSam Houston St
73.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSUNew Mexico St
73.5%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StToledo
72.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyMTSU
71.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawNew Mexico St
71.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyToledo
71.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyNew Mexico St
68.8%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyKennesawLiberty
66.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyUTEP
66.7%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana TechToledo
66.7%
<0.1%
LibertySam Houston StToledo
65.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertySam Houston St
65.5%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico StToledo
63.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StSam Houston St
62.5%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyToledo
62.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawLiberty
57.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechMTSU
50.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyJacksonville StSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyKennesawNew Mexico St
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyLibertyMTSU
50.0%
<0.1%
Eastern KentuckyLibertySam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUUTEP
42.9%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyLouisiana Tech
40.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
40.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StUTEP
40.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston StUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechMTSU
30.0%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechSam Houston St
30.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StSam Houston St
23.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMTSU
22.7%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMTSUNew Mexico St
20.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMTSU
16.7%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StUTEP
16.7%
<0.1%
LibertySam Houston StUTEP
15.4%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StSam Houston St
15.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyNew Mexico St
14.8%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUSam Houston St
14.5%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUSam Houston St
13.3%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUNew Mexico St
12.2%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertySam Houston St
11.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawNew Mexico St
10.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyNew Mexico St
9.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StSam Houston St
9.5%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUNew Mexico St
9.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawMTSU
9.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUSam Houston St
9.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawSam Houston St
8.3%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico StSam Houston St
7.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertySam Houston St
7.7%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
7.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawLiberty
6.9%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WKUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com