Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W31-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L6-31 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | Win prob:7% | |
| 4 | 9/21 | Win prob:68% | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:18% | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:86% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:52% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:61% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:13% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:90% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:6% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:38% |
Data from 2024-09-08
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 50.0% |
| 6-2 | 0.1% | 14.2% |
| 5-3 | 1.6% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 11.3% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 33.3% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 36.8% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 15.3% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 1.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-08
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-09-08
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.1%) |
Data from 2024-09-08
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Any 1 loss
29.3%
<0.1%
30.0%
<0.1%
28.6%
<0.1%
25.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
19.6%
<0.1%
50.0%
<0.1%
40.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%17.6%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-08
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-08