Marshall

MarshallThundering Herd

1-1 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MarshallSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsStony BrookSTBK
W45-3
29/07
@Virginia TechVT
L14-31
49/21
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:2%
59/28
vsW MichiganWMU
Win prob:80%
610/05
vsAppalachian StAPP
Win prob:49%
710/12
@Ga SouthernGASO
Win prob:42%
810/17
vsGeorgia StGAST
Win prob:60%
1011/02
vsULMULM
Win prob:75%
1111/09
@Southern MissUSM
Win prob:69%
1211/16
vsCoastal CarCCU
Win prob:39%
1311/23
@Old DominionODU
Win prob:44%
1411/30
@James MadisonJMU
Win prob:9%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
1.6%
45.7%
6-2
8.6%
10.8%
5-3
21.3%
1.8%
4-4
29.9%
0.2%
3-5
24.2%
0%
2-6
11.2%
0%
1-7
2.8%
0%
0-8
0.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Marshall CCG Opponents

if Marshall makes the CCG

South AlabamaSouth Alabama
28.9%
LouisianaLouisiana
28.9%
Texas StateTexas St
19.3%
TroyTroy
16.1%
Arkansas StateArkansas St
6.9%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallThis Week's Impact

Game
MarshallCCG OddsAway
MarshallCCG OddsHome
James MadisonJMU@North CarolinaUNC
2.2%
(-0.0%)		2.2%
(+0.1%)
VirginiaUVA@Coastal CarCCU
2.3%
(+0.1%)		2.2%
(-0.0%)
TulaneTULN@LouisianaUL
2.1%
(-0.1%)		2.3%
(+0.1%)
South AlabamaUSA@Appalachian StAPP
2.3%
(+0.1%)		2.1%
(-0.1%)
Florida A&MFAMU@TroyTROY
2.2%
(-0.0%)		2.2%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@Iowa StISU
2.3%
(+0.1%)		2.2%
(-0.0%)
Southern MissUSM@Jacksonville StJXST
2.3%
(+0.1%)		2.2%
(-0.0%)
ULMULM@TexasTEX
1.7%
(-0.5%)		2.2%
(+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Ohio StOSU
1.9%
(-0.3%)		2.2%
(+0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@MississippiMISS
2.1%
(-0.1%)		2.2%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Marshall

James MadisonJames MadisonCoastal CarCoastal CarolinaLouisianaLouisianaSouth AlabamaSouth AlabamaArkansas StArkansas StateULMUL MonroeGa SouthernGeorgia Southern

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Marshall

North CarolinaNorth CarolinaCoastal CarCoastal CarolinaSouth AlabamaSouth AlabamaJacksonville StJacksonville StateTexasTexasOhio StOhio State

CCG: 2.6% • Scenario: 13.4%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Marshall CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
91.8%
0.1%
Ohio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Old Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian St
100.0%
<0.1%
James Madison
18.2%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
43.8%
1.4%
Ohio StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld Dominion
95.0%
0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio St
91.3%
0.1%
Georgia StOhio St
89.8%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio St
89.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio St
65.2%
0.1%
Georgia StOld Dominion
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonW Michigan
36.4%
<0.1%
Coastal CarULM
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOld Dominion
25.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonULM
20.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio St
16.7%
0.8%
James MadisonSouthern Miss
16.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames Madison
6.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames Madison
3.1%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
12.8%
7.1%
Ohio StOld DominionW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern Miss
98.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
93.5%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StULM
93.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionULM
92.5%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StW Michigan
92.3%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
89.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StW Michigan
88.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StW Michigan
85.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern Miss
78.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StULM
74.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern Miss
64.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StULM
63.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StW Michigan
63.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOld DominionULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld Dominion
34.4%
0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld Dominion
32.4%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio St
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StOhio St
24.1%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StW Michigan
23.4%
0.2%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio St
20.8%
0.1%
James MadisonOhio StULM
20.5%
0.3%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
18.9%
0.3%
Appalachian StOhio StOld Dominion
18.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio St
14.2%
0.2%
Coastal CarOhio StOld Dominion
13.2%
0.2%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio St
10.2%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarOhio St
8.9%
0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld Dominion
4.1%
1.0%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio St
3.0%
1.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio St
1.8%
0.6%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio St
1.1%
1.2%
Appalachian StJames MadisonOhio St
1.0%
0.8%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com