UL MonroeWarhawks

2-0 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsJackson StateJKST	W30-14
2	9/07	vsUABUAB	W32-6
4	9/21	@TexasTEX	Win prob:1%
5	9/28	@TroyTROY	Win prob:12%
6	10/05	vsJames MadisonJMU	Win prob:8%
7	10/12	vsSouthern MissUSM	Win prob:66%
9	10/26	@South AlabamaUSA	Win prob:10%
10	11/02	@MarshallMRSH	Win prob:25%
11	11/09	vsTexas StateTXST	Win prob:21%
12	11/16	@AuburnAUB	Win prob:10%
13	11/23	@Arkansas StateARST	Win prob:21%
14	11/30	vsLouisianaUL	Win prob:19%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	0%
7-1	0.0%	85.7%
6-2	0.1%	47.4%
5-3	0.9%	15.4%
4-4	5.5%	3.4%
3-5	18.2%	0.0%
2-6	34.2%	0%
1-7	31.9%	0%
0-8	9.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

76.3%

10.5%

7.9%

2.6%

2.6%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
James MadisonJMU@North CarolinaUNC	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
VirginiaUVA@Coastal CarolinaCCU	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@LouisianaUL	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
South AlabamaUSA@App StateAPP	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
Florida A&MFAMU@TroyTROY	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
Arkansas StateARST@Iowa StateISU	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
Southern MissUSM@Jacksonville StateJXST	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
UL MonroeULM@TexasTEX	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Ohio StateOSU	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
Georgia SouthernGASO@Ole MissMISS	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

James Madison

Virginia

Louisiana

Arkansas State

Southern Miss

UL Monroe

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Coastal Carolina

Louisiana

South Alabama

Texas

CCG: 0.5% • Scenario: 28.0%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 3 losses

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

Any 4 losses

53.8%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

88.9%

<0.1%

71.4%

<0.1%

70.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

57.1%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

26.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com