TulsaGolden Hurricane

2-2 T3rd (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-09-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsNorthwestern StateNWST	W62-28
2	9/07	@Arkansas StateARST	L24-28
3	9/14	vsOklahoma StateOKST	L10-45
4	9/21	@Louisiana TechLT	W23-20
5	9/28	@North TexasUNT	Win prob:18%
6	10/05	vsArmyARMY	Win prob:19%
8	10/19	@TempleTEM	Win prob:50%
9	10/26	vsUTSAUTSA	Win prob:34%
10	11/02	@UABUAB	Win prob:33%
12	11/14	vsEast CarolinaECU	Win prob:29%
13	11/23	@South FloridaUSF	Win prob:17%
14	11/30	vsFlorida AtlanticFAU	Win prob:46%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	93.0%
6-2	0.9%	32.2%
5-3	4.5%	0.4%
4-4	14.1%	0%
3-5	27.0%	0%
2-6	30.0%	0%
1-7	18.5%	0%
0-8	4.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

32.4%

29.4%

17.6%

11.8%

8.8%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
WagnerWAG@Florida AtlanticFAU	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@North TexasUNT	1.3% (+0.9%)	0.2% (-0.2%)
UTSAUTSA@East CarolinaECU	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
NavyNAVY@UABUAB	0.3% (-0.1%)	0.5% (+0.1%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@MemphisMEM	0.3% (-0.1%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
ArmyARMY@TempleTEM	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.1%)
South FloridaUSF@TulaneTULN	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@RiceRICE	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Wagner

Tulsa

UTSA

UAB

Memphis

Temple

Tulane

Charlotte

CCG: 14.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Tulsa

CCG: 1.3% • Scenario: 17.8%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

92.8%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

94.7%

<0.1%

94.4%

<0.1%

94.1%

<0.1%

81.8%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

32.2%

0.9%

75.0%

<0.1%

55.2%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

39.1%

<0.1%

38.1%

<0.1%

37.0%

<0.1%

36.7%

<0.1%

36.7%

0.1%

36.4%

<0.1%

35.1%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

31.3%

<0.1%

30.6%

<0.1%

30.4%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

28.3%

<0.1%

28.0%

<0.1%

26.5%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

21.1%

<0.1%

18.8%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com