BaylorBears

2-2 T8th (0-1) in B12

Data from 2024-09-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsTarleton StateTAR	W45-3
2	9/07	@UtahUTAH	L12-23
3	9/14	vsAir ForceAF	W31-3
4	9/21	@ColoradoCOLO	L31-38
5	9/28	vsBYUBYU	Win prob:42%
6	10/05	@Iowa StateISU	Win prob:16%
8	10/19	@Texas TechTTU	Win prob:25%
9	10/26	vsOklahoma StateOKST	Win prob:43%
10	11/02	vsTCUTCU	Win prob:52%
12	11/16	@West VirginiaWVU	Win prob:34%
13	11/23	@HoustonHOU	Win prob:60%
14	11/30	vsKansasKU	Win prob:42%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	0.0%	96.3%
7-2	0.5%	58.6%
6-3	3.3%	3.2%
5-4	11.3%	0%
4-5	23.3%	0%
3-6	29.1%	0%
2-7	22.0%	0%
1-8	9.0%	0%
0-9	1.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

26.5%

23.5%

20.6%

17.6%

11.8%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
BYUBYU@BaylorBAY	0.1% (-0.4%)	0.9% (+0.5%)
ColoradoCOLO@UCFUCF	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
CincinnatiCIN@Texas TechTTU	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
Iowa StateISU@HoustonHOU	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.5% (+0.1%)
ArizonaARIZ@UtahUTAH	0.5% (+0.0%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
Oklahoma StateOKST@Kansas StateKSU	0.5% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
TCUTCU@KansasKU	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Baylor

Colorado

Cincinnati

Houston

Utah

Oklahoma State

Kansas

CCG: 5.6% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Baylor

CCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 42.0%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

96.3%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

58.4%

0.5%

79.1%

<0.1%

70.8%

<0.1%

68.6%

<0.1%

61.9%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

57.7%

0.1%

54.9%

<0.1%

49.2%

0.2%

Any 2 losses

3.2%

19.4%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.7%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.4%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

6.2%

<0.1%

6.1%

<0.1%

6.0%

<0.1%

5.9%

0.1%

5.8%

<0.1%

4.8%

0.3%

4.7%

<0.1%

3.0%

<0.1%

2.6%

0.1%

2.6%

0.5%

2.6%

<0.1%

2.5%

0.2%

2.2%

0.2%

1.9%

0.1%

1.6%

0.1%

1.5%

<0.1%

1.4%

<0.1%

1.1%

0.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.8%

0.1%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com