Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L7-27 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L12-16 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W33-7 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L0-34 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:15% | |
| 6 | 10/04 | Win prob:22% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:21% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:23% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:16% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:11% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:40% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:16% |
Data from 2024-09-22
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-2 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 6-3 | 0.1% | 14.3% |
| 5-4 | 0.8% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 4.8% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 15.3% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 30.5% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 33.1% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 15.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-22
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-09-22
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
BYU
Colorado
CincinnatiHouston
Utah
Kansas State
KansasCCG: 2.4% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
HoustonCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 15.2%
Data from 2024-09-22
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-22
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-22