SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	Overall
TexasTEX	98.8%	46.3%	1.3%	61.3%
AlabamaALA	100%	75.7%	7.5%	38.5%
TennesseeTENN	99.3%	53.4%	1.3%	33.4%
GeorgiaUGA	100%	94.6%	6.3%	32.2%
Ole MissMISS	99.0%	48.5%	1.1%	14.7%
LSULSU	99.9%	51.0%	1.4%	10.3%
MissouriMIZ	95.8%	28.4%	0.4%	5.6%
Texas A&MTA&M	100%	51.4%	1.1%	2.6%
OklahomaOU	-	95.3%	21.7%	0.9%
South CarolinaSC	-	82.3%	5.5%	0.3%
ArkansasARK	-	75.0%	23.4%	<0.1%
AuburnAUB	-	-	-	-
FloridaFLA	-	-	-	-
KentuckyUK	-	-	10.0%	-
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	-	-
VanderbiltVAN	-	-	-	-

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
TexasTEX(0-0)	42.3%	41.8%	13.8%	2.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.2
TennesseeTENN(1-0)	11.4%	40.5%	37.7%	9.3%	1.0%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	-	6.5
AlabamaALA(0-0)	11.7%	32.2%	33.4%	17.2%	4.8%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
GeorgiaUGA(1-0)	5.7%	25.4%	38.4%	23.8%	6.1%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	6.0
Ole MissMISS(0-0)	4.5%	20.4%	33.5%	27.0%	11.5%	2.7%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.7
LSULSU(1-0)	2.3%	14.8%	31.0%	31.7%	15.8%	3.9%	0.4%	<0.1%	-	5.4
MissouriMIZ(1-0)	1.5%	14.0%	32.7%	32.5%	15.5%	3.4%	0.4%	<0.1%	-	5.4
Texas A&MTA&M(1-0)	0.3%	4.2%	16.8%	31.2%	29.6%	14.3%	3.4%	0.3%	-	4.6
South CarolinaSC(1-1)	-	0.2%	2.9%	15.3%	33.6%	33.5%	13.2%	1.3%	-	3.6
OklahomaOU(0-1)	-	0.3%	3.0%	13.1%	28.2%	31.6%	18.3%	5.1%	0.5%	3.3
KentuckyUK(0-2)	-	-	<0.1%	1.4%	13.4%	42.5%	33.6%	8.5%	0.5%	2.6
ArkansasARK(1-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	1.6%	9.4%	29.6%	42.0%	17.3%	-	2.4
AuburnAUB(0-1)	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	4.4%	18.9%	39.0%	32.2%	5.0%	1.9
FloridaFLA(1-1)	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	2.5%	15.9%	43.0%	38.5%	-	1.8
Mississippi StateMSST(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	1.5%	13.0%	43.7%	41.7%	0.7
VanderbiltVAN(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.7%	7.0%	33.0%	59.2%	0.5

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com