GeorgiaBulldogs

3-0 T1st (1-0) in SEC

Data from 2024-09-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

32.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsClemsonCLEM(N)	W34-3
2	9/07	vsTennessee TechTNTC	W48-3
3	9/14	@KentuckyUK	W13-12
5	9/28	@AlabamaALA	Win prob:42%
6	10/05	vsAuburnAUB	Win prob:96%
7	10/12	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:99%
8	10/19	@TexasTEX	Win prob:34%
10	11/02	vsFloridaFLA(N)	Win prob:95%
11	11/09	@Ole MissMISS	Win prob:66%
12	11/16	vsTennesseeTENN	Win prob:67%
13	11/23	vsMassachusettsMASS	Win prob:99%
14	11/29	vsGeorgia TechGT	Win prob:96%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	5.7%	100.0%
7-1	25.4%	94.6%
6-2	38.4%	6.3%
5-3	23.8%	0%
4-4	6.1%	0%
3-5	0.5%	0%
2-6	0.0%	0%
1-7	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

42.6%

25.9%

17.5%

8.0%

6.0%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
OklahomaOU@AuburnAUB	32.0% (-0.2%)	33.0% (+0.8%)
KentuckyUK@Ole MissMISS	33.9% (+1.7%)	31.9% (-0.4%)
GeorgiaUGA@AlabamaALA	55.9% (+23.7%)	15.0% (-17.2%)
Mississippi StateMSST@TexasTEX	34.3% (+2.1%)	32.2% (-0.0%)
South AlabamaUSA@LSULSU	32.4% (+0.2%)	32.2% (-0.1%)
ArkansasARK@Texas A&MTA&M	32.6% (+0.4%)	32.1% (-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Auburn

Georgia

Mississippi State

South Alabama

Arkansas

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Georgia

CCG: 55.9% • Scenario: 42.1%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

5.4%

Any 1 loss

94.7%

24.5%

100.0%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

98.7%

2.9%

97.8%

0.2%

95.7%

<0.1%

95.2%

2.6%

94.4%

7.5%

93.5%

10.7%

89.5%

0.3%

Any 2 losses

9.1%

37.7%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

98.4%

0.1%

95.3%

0.3%

95.1%

<0.1%

95.0%

0.1%

94.3%

0.4%

89.0%

0.1%

81.8%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

20.0%

0.1%

16.9%

0.4%

16.1%

0.5%

14.1%

0.3%

13.3%

0.1%

13.0%

0.1%

12.5%

0.4%

10.8%

0.1%

10.1%

5.4%

9.5%

0.1%

7.9%

<0.1%

7.7%

3.8%

7.1%

1.4%

6.4%

0.1%

4.4%

14.6%

4.3%

5.2%

3.6%

3.7%

Any 3 losses

7.7%

1.8%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

17.6%

<0.1%

17.1%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

15.8%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.3%

0.1%

9.2%

0.2%

5.2%

0.6%

4.3%

<0.1%

4.1%

0.2%

3.2%

0.2%

3.0%

0.1%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com