ClemsonTigers

2-1 T1st (1-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

56.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsGeorgiaUGA(N)	L3-34
2	9/07	vsApp StateAPP	W66-20
4	9/21	vsNC StateNCSU	W59-35
5	9/28	vsStanfordSTAN	Win prob:96%
6	10/05	@Florida StateFSU	Win prob:69%
7	10/12	@Wake ForestWAKE	Win prob:89%
8	10/19	vsVirginiaUVA	Win prob:93%
10	11/02	vsLouisvilleLOU	Win prob:68%
11	11/09	@Virginia TechVT	Win prob:67%
12	11/16	@PittsburghPITT	Win prob:81%
13	11/23	vsThe CitadelCIT	Win prob:90%
14	11/30	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:70%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	20.1%	99.4%
7-1	38.2%	81.0%
6-2	28.8%	17.6%
5-3	10.6%	0.2%
4-4	2.1%	0%
3-5	0.2%	0%
2-6	0.0%	0%
1-7	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

50.3%

22.1%

18.0%

4.9%

4.7%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
LouisvilleLOU@Notre DameND	55.9% (-0.1%)	56.0% (+0.0%)
LouisianaUL@Wake ForestWAKE	56.2% (+0.2%)	55.6% (-0.4%)
Western KentuckyWKU@Boston CollegeBC	56.2% (+0.2%)	55.9% (-0.1%)
StanfordSTAN@ClemsonCLEM	28.2% (-27.8%)	57.2% (+1.2%)
North CarolinaUNC@DukeDUKE	56.9% (+0.9%)	55.6% (-0.3%)
Holy CrossHC@SyracuseSYR	55.1% (-0.9%)	56.1% (+0.1%)
Florida StateFSU@SMUSMU	60.7% (+4.7%)	54.1% (-1.9%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@NC StateNCSU	56.3% (+0.3%)	55.8% (-0.2%)
Virginia TechVT@MiamiMIA	60.3% (+4.3%)	55.1% (-0.9%)

Best Winner Combination for

Wake Forest

Stanford

North Carolina

Holy Cross

Florida State

Virginia Tech

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Clemson

Florida State

CCG: 61.8% • Scenario: 27.8%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.4%

12.6%

Any 1 loss

85.1%

30.8%

99.5%

5.4%

99.5%

1.5%

90.6%

1.5%

90.0%

0.6%

88.2%

0.9%

87.8%

3.0%

87.1%

5.8%

83.4%

6.3%

64.3%

5.9%

Any 2 losses

45.4%

31.9%

98.6%

0.7%

92.9%

<0.1%

91.8%

0.2%

91.2%

0.1%

91.1%

0.7%

89.0%

0.2%

87.6%

1.4%

87.3%

0.3%

85.9%

0.4%

85.5%

2.6%

85.4%

2.7%

85.4%

0.7%

85.2%

0.6%

64.4%

2.5%

64.0%

0.7%

38.2%

<0.1%

35.1%

<0.1%

33.9%

0.2%

33.2%

0.4%

33.0%

0.1%

30.0%

0.2%

29.1%

0.7%

29.0%

0.1%

27.5%

1.4%

26.9%

0.5%

24.0%

0.8%

20.6%

0.3%

20.2%

3.0%

20.0%

1.4%

17.9%

0.5%

14.1%

0.7%

13.5%

0.4%

13.3%

0.3%

11.0%

1.5%

10.8%

2.6%

8.0%

2.9%

Any 3 losses

23.1%

11.4%

95.6%

<0.1%

92.9%

<0.1%

91.6%

0.1%

88.4%

0.3%

88.2%

<0.1%

81.8%

0.3%

60.9%

0.3%

50.0%

<0.1%

43.2%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

35.7%

<0.1%

34.1%

0.7%

33.3%

<0.1%

32.1%

0.3%

31.9%

<0.1%

30.7%

0.2%

30.2%

0.2%

28.6%

<0.1%

27.9%

<0.1%

27.3%

0.2%

26.7%

<0.1%

25.7%

<0.1%

25.2%

0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

22.6%

0.3%

22.5%

0.1%

22.2%

0.2%

21.8%

0.1%

20.4%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

19.7%

1.2%

19.3%

0.6%

18.9%

0.2%

17.5%

0.3%

14.3%

<0.1%

12.8%

0.1%

12.7%

0.3%

11.8%

0.3%

11.1%

<0.1%

10.8%

0.3%

10.3%

0.2%

10.3%

1.2%

10.0%

0.6%

9.3%

0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

7.2%

1.2%

5.4%

<0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

1.2%

0.2%

1.2%

<0.1%

1.0%

0.2%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com