Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L14-34 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W69-7 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L7-33 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L14-37 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L20-21 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:36% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:6% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:17% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:22% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:8% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:41% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:41% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| 5-3 | 0.2% | 1.4% |
| 4-4 | 2.7% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 13.9% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 32.7% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 35.7% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 14.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Tulane
Charlotte
Temple
Navy
ArmyCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 0.8%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
UAB
East Carolina
UConnArmyCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 6.7%
Data from 2024-09-29
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29