California

CaliforniaGolden Bears

3-1 T12th (0-1) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-29 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

CaliforniaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
W31-13
29/07
W21-14
39/14
W31-10
49/21
L9-14
610/05
Win prob:20%
710/12
Win prob:49%
810/19
Win prob:65%
910/26
Win prob:46%
1111/08
Win prob:65%
1211/16
Win prob:77%
1311/23
Win prob:85%
1411/30
Win prob:17%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-1
0.5%
75.5%
6-2
5.4%
5.0%
5-3
20.7%
0%
4-4
33.9%
0%
3-5
26.8%
0%
2-6
10.5%
0%
1-7
2.1%
0%
0-8
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely California CCG Opponents

if California makes the CCG

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaThis Week's Impact

Game
CaliforniaCCG OddsAway
CaliforniaCCG OddsHome
0.7%
(+0.0%)
0.6%
(-0.0%)
0.6%
(-0.0%)
0.6%
(+0.0%)
0.6%
(-0.0%)
0.7%
(+0.1%)
0.6%
(-0.0%)
0.7%
(+0.1%)
0.5%
(-0.1%)
0.9%
(+0.3%)
0.7%
(+0.0%)
0.6%
(-0.0%)
0.6%
(-0.0%)
0.7%
(+0.1%)
0.5%
(-0.1%)
0.7%
(+0.0%)
0.1%
(-0.6%)
2.9%
(+2.3%)

Best Winner Combination for California

LouisvilleLouisvilleVirginiaVirginiaGeorgia TechGeorgia TechFlorida StFlorida StatePittsburghPittsburghStanfordStanfordSyracuseSyracuseCaliforniaCalifornia

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for California

CaliforniaCalifornia

CCG: 2.9% • Scenario: 19.8%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
California CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
73.6%
0.2%
Any 1 loss
11.8%
2.8%
Oregon St
77.0%
0.3%
Syracuse
16.1%
<0.1%
Stanford
13.3%
<0.1%
Wake Forest
12.6%
0.1%
Pittsburgh
11.4%
0.2%
NC State
10.9%
0.1%
SMU
3.6%
1.1%
Miami FL
2.7%
0.9%
Any 2 losses
5.0%
2.9%
Oregon StStanford
18.9%
<0.1%
Oregon StWake Forest
18.1%
0.1%
Oregon StSyracuse
13.2%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon St
11.7%
0.1%
Oregon StPittsburgh
9.0%
0.3%
Miami FLOregon St
3.2%
1.0%
Oregon StSMU
2.5%
1.2%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com