ClemsonTigers

3-1 T1st (2-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-29 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

55.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsGeorgiaUGA(N)	L3-34
2	9/07	vsApp StateAPP	W66-20
4	9/21	vsNC StateNCSU	W59-35
5	9/28	vsStanfordSTAN	W40-14
6	10/05	@Florida StateFSU	Win prob:77%
7	10/12	@Wake ForestWAKE	Win prob:90%
8	10/19	vsVirginiaUVA	Win prob:94%
10	11/02	vsLouisvilleLOU	Win prob:69%
11	11/09	@Virginia TechVT	Win prob:68%
12	11/16	@PittsburghPITT	Win prob:82%
13	11/23	vsThe CitadelCIT	Win prob:90%
14	11/30	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:72%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	25.0%	98.2%
7-1	40.3%	70.3%
6-2	25.4%	9.4%
5-3	7.9%	0.0%
4-4	1.3%	0%
3-5	0.1%	0%
2-6	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

46.2%

29.3%

18.6%

4.4%

1.5%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
SMUSMU@LouisvilleLOU	50.0% (-5.3%)	60.1% (+4.8%)
Wake ForestWAKE@NC StateNCSU	55.3% (-0.0%)	55.3% (+0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@VirginiaUVA	54.4% (-0.9%)	56.3% (+1.0%)
DukeDUKE@Georgia TechGT	54.1% (-1.2%)	56.7% (+1.4%)
ClemsonCLEM@Florida StateFSU	62.8% (+7.5%)	30.5% (-24.8%)
PittsburghPITT@North CarolinaUNC	55.8% (+0.5%)	55.0% (-0.3%)
Virginia TechVT@StanfordSTAN	55.1% (-0.2%)	56.5% (+1.2%)
SyracuseSYR@UNLVUNLV	55.4% (+0.1%)	55.3% (-0.0%)
MiamiMIA@CaliforniaCAL	54.1% (-1.2%)	60.2% (+4.9%)

Best Winner Combination for

Louisville

Wake Forest

Duke

Pittsburgh

Stanford

Syracuse

California

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Clemson

CCG: 62.8% • Scenario: 76.7%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

98.2%

16.2%

Any 1 loss

76.9%

34.1%

98.3%

6.2%

97.8%

1.8%

83.4%

1.9%

80.7%

1.1%

79.0%

3.6%

78.9%

5.0%

76.6%

7.4%

48.3%

7.1%

Any 2 losses

38.0%

30.5%

98.3%

0.8%

83.0%

0.8%

82.7%

0.2%

81.9%

1.5%

81.2%

0.1%

79.6%

0.4%

79.0%

0.5%

78.0%

1.9%

77.2%

0.4%

77.0%

3.0%

75.5%

0.8%

49.5%

0.7%

47.6%

2.8%

23.8%

0.1%

22.1%

0.4%

17.3%

0.5%

16.3%

0.9%

15.7%

1.1%

14.8%

0.2%

14.3%

0.3%

12.9%

0.5%

11.5%

2.3%

11.0%

1.7%

5.9%

0.8%

5.1%

0.5%

5.0%

1.6%

4.9%

2.2%

4.7%

3.3%

Any 3 losses

16.8%

9.3%

85.1%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

79.0%

0.3%

77.0%

0.2%

76.8%

0.1%

45.6%

0.3%

27.7%

<0.1%

27.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

0.1%

22.8%

<0.1%

22.2%

0.2%

21.4%

<0.1%

18.5%

0.2%

15.8%

0.4%

15.8%

0.2%

15.4%

<0.1%

14.8%

0.3%

14.7%

0.1%

13.7%

0.9%

12.8%

<0.1%

12.3%

0.2%

12.2%

<0.1%

12.1%

0.1%

11.7%

0.7%

10.7%

0.2%

9.3%

<0.1%

7.8%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

5.7%

0.3%

5.0%

0.8%

4.7%

1.3%

4.5%

0.6%

4.5%

0.2%

4.4%

0.4%

4.2%

0.2%

3.8%

0.2%

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com