ArkansasRazorbacks

4-2 T4th (2-1) in SEC

Data from 2024-10-06 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsArkansas-Pine BluffUAPB(N)	W70-0
2	9/07	@Oklahoma StateOKST	L31-39
3	9/14	vsUABUAB	W37-27
4	9/21	@AuburnAUB	W24-14
5	9/28	vsTexas A&MTA&M(N)	L17-21
6	10/05	vsTennesseeTENN	W19-14
8	10/19	vsLSULSU	Win prob:15%
9	10/26	@Mississippi StateMSST	Win prob:62%
10	11/02	vsOle MissMISS	Win prob:13%
12	11/16	vsTexasTEX	Win prob:5%
13	11/23	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:88%
14	11/30	@MissouriMIZ	Win prob:21%

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.0%	91.7%
6-2	0.4%	51.2%
5-3	4.9%	0.1%
4-4	24.7%	0%
3-5	48.5%	0%
2-6	21.4%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

61.9%

14.3%

9.5%

9.5%

4.8%

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Ole MissMISS@LSULSU	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
TexasTEX@OklahomaOU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
MissouriMIZ@MassachusettsMASS	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
South CarolinaSC@AlabamaALA	0.3% (+0.1%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@KentuckyUK	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
FloridaFLA@TennesseeTENN	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Mississippi StateMSST@GeorgiaUGA	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Ole Miss

Texas

Vanderbilt

Florida

Mississippi State

CCG: 20.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Ole Miss

Kentucky

Georgia

CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 41.5%

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

50.6%

0.4%

61.5%

<0.1%

59.5%

<0.1%

55.6%

<0.1%

47.2%

<0.1%

46.0%

0.2%

Any 2 losses

16.2%

0.2%

68.2%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

0.9%

0.1%

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-06 • SportsSimulate.com