Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
9.7%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W76-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W52-3 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W40-6 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W52-13 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L17-20 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W27-3 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:47% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:68% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:88% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:40% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:86% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:97% |
Data from 2024-10-06
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 9.1% | 78.9% |
| 6-2 | 32.1% | 7.9% |
| 5-3 | 37.3% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 17.8% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 3.5% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 0.3% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-06
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-10-06
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 19.1% (+9.3%) | 1.5% (-8.2%) | |
| 9.0% (-0.7%) | 12.8% (+3.1%) | |
| 9.7% (-0.0%) | 9.9% (+0.2%) | |
| 13.6% (+3.9%) | 9.4% (-0.4%) | |
| 9.1% (-0.7%) | 9.8% (+0.1%) | |
| 11.8% (+2.1%) | 9.6% (-0.1%) | |
| 11.6% (+1.9%) | 9.7% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Ole Miss
Massachusetts
South Carolina
Mississippi StateCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Ole MissCCG: 19.1% • Scenario: 46.7%
Data from 2024-10-06
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
78.9%
9.1%Any 1 loss
7.9%
32.1%
15.5%
1.5%
13.8%
1.4%13.3%
0.3%
11.6%
4.3%
7.8%
10.5%
5.4%
14.1%Data from 2024-10-06
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-06