Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W44-7 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W49-17 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W26-23 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W21-18 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L7-14 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L7-42 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:56% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:10% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:44% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:28% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:43% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:46% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 0.1% | 4.2% |
| 6-3 | 2.1% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 11.3% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 27.4% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 33.6% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 20.4% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 5.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Oregon
Illinois
NebraskaRutgers
USC
Northwestern
Michigan StateCCG: 0.6% • Scenario: 0.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Oregon
Michigan
IndianaRutgersCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 29.6%
Data from 2024-10-13
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
4.2%
0.1%Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13