Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W34-27 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W55-0 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L32-36 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L27-30 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W40-35 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W20-13 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:89% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:2% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:24% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:24% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:5% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:6% |
Data from 2024-10-13
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 32.0% |
| 5-3 | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 9.3% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 38.6% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 51.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-10-13
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 11.1% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 1.9%
Data from 2024-10-13
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
25.8%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-10-13
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-10-13