ArkansasRazorbacks

4-2 T5th (2-1) in SEC

Data from 2024-10-13 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsArkansas-Pine BluffUAPB(N)	W70-0
2	9/07	@Oklahoma StateOKST	L31-39
3	9/14	vsUABUAB	W37-27
4	9/21	@AuburnAUB	W24-14
5	9/28	vsTexas A&MTA&M(N)	L17-21
6	10/05	vsTennesseeTENN	W19-14
8	10/19	vsLSULSU	Win prob:15%
9	10/26	@Mississippi StateMSST	Win prob:59%
10	11/02	vsOle MissMISS	Win prob:13%
12	11/16	vsTexasTEX	Win prob:4%
13	11/23	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:83%
14	11/30	@MissouriMIZ	Win prob:17%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.0%	100.0%
6-2	0.3%	39.7%
5-3	3.9%	0.1%
4-4	22.2%	0%
3-5	48.8%	0%
2-6	24.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

76.9%

7.7%

7.7%

7.7%

0.0%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Ball StateBALL@VanderbiltVAN	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
AuburnAUB@MissouriMIZ	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
South CarolinaSC@OklahomaOU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
LSULSU@ArkansasARK	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.8% (+0.7%)
GeorgiaUGA@TexasTEX	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Texas A&MTA&M@Mississippi StateMSST	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
AlabamaALA@TennesseeTENN	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@FloridaFLA	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Vanderbilt

Auburn

South Carolina

Arkansas

Texas

Mississippi State

Alabama

Florida

CCG: 6.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Arkansas

CCG: 0.8% • Scenario: 14.6%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

39.5%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

48.0%

<0.1%

47.6%

<0.1%

38.9%

0.1%

26.8%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

43.8%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

44.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-10-13 • SportsSimulate.com