LSU

LSUTigers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-08-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

6.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

LSUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
@ClemsonCLEM
Win prob:48%
29/06
vsLouisiana TechLT
Win prob:90%
39/13
vsFloridaFLA
Win prob:65%
49/20
vsSE LouisianaSELA
Win prob:90%
59/27
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:18%
710/11
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:58%
810/18
@VanderbiltVAN
Win prob:74%
910/25
vsTexas A&MTA&M
Win prob:62%
1111/08
@AlabamaALA
Win prob:39%
1211/15
vsArkansasARK
Win prob:77%
1311/22
vsWKUWKU
Win prob:88%
1411/29
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:54%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

LSURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.5%
100.0%
7-1
4.7%
75.0%
6-2
16.2%
14.3%
5-3
28.1%
0.1%
4-4
27.7%
0%
3-5
16.3%
0%
2-6
5.5%
0%
1-7
1.0%
0%
0-8
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely LSU CCG Opponents

if LSU makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
63.8%
Ole MissMississippi
18.1%
TexasTexas
9.6%
TennesseeTennessee
6.0%
AlabamaAlabama
2.5%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

LSUThis Week's Impact

Game
LSUCCG OddsAway
LSUCCG OddsHome

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

LSULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
LSU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.2%
Any 1 loss
78.0%
1.9%
Clemson
100.0%
0.2%
SE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
WKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
South Carolina
91.7%
0.1%
Alabama
83.5%
0.3%
Arkansas
78.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma
76.5%
0.2%
Texas A&M
73.3%
0.1%
Mississippi
69.7%
0.8%
Vanderbilt
68.5%
<0.1%
Florida
67.1%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
32.8%
7.8%
ClemsonWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSouth Carolina
89.2%
0.1%
SE LouisianaVanderbilt
87.5%
<0.1%
Texas A&MWKU
84.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemson
84.2%
0.3%
ArkansasClemson
83.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaSE Louisiana
83.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechTexas A&M
80.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasLouisiana Tech
80.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonTexas A&M
79.5%
0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana Tech
78.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaWKU
77.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonVanderbilt
77.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippi
76.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaSE Louisiana
75.0%
<0.1%
VanderbiltWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaSouth Carolina
72.7%
<0.1%
MississippiWKU
72.7%
0.1%
ClemsonOklahoma
72.0%
0.1%
MississippiSE Louisiana
71.2%
<0.1%
OklahomaWKU
70.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi
69.2%
0.9%
ClemsonFlorida
66.7%
0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma
66.7%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisiana Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasWKU
62.5%
<0.1%
FloridaWKU
61.5%
<0.1%
FloridaSE Louisiana
53.8%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasVanderbilt
34.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaVanderbilt
29.5%
0.1%
South CarolinaVanderbilt
27.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbilt
26.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth Carolina
25.0%
0.2%
FloridaVanderbilt
22.6%
<0.1%
Texas A&MVanderbilt
22.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahoma
21.8%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexas A&M
21.2%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&M
20.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
20.3%
0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&M
19.5%
0.2%
AlabamaArkansas
17.4%
<0.1%
FloridaTexas A&M
17.1%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth Carolina
16.7%
<0.1%
MississippiSouth Carolina
16.6%
0.6%
MississippiVanderbilt
16.1%
0.3%
AlabamaOklahoma
15.2%
0.2%
ArkansasTexas A&M
15.2%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahoma
13.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi
13.0%
1.2%
ArkansasSouth Carolina
12.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi
11.3%
0.2%
MississippiTexas A&M
10.8%
0.4%
MississippiOklahoma
9.5%
0.7%
AlabamaFlorida
9.2%
0.1%
FloridaMississippi
8.2%
0.4%
ArkansasFlorida
4.2%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
18.9%
9.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSE LouisianaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahomaSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaVanderbiltWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaTexas A&MWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSE LouisianaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaSouth CarolinaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSouth CarolinaWKU
95.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
92.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonSE Louisiana
88.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonLouisiana Tech
87.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonWKU
86.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechSouth Carolina
85.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonTexas A&MWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonLouisiana Tech
84.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaWKU
83.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaTexas A&M
81.8%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippiWKU
78.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiSE Louisiana
78.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaLouisiana Tech
77.8%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippiSE Louisiana
75.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonWKU
73.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaSE Louisiana
72.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaWKU
72.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiWKU
72.5%
0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechMississippi
71.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechOklahoma
70.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechTexas A&M
70.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahomaWKU
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonVanderbiltWKU
66.7%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechTexas A&MWKU
66.7%
<0.1%
MississippiSE LouisianaWKU
63.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaSE LouisianaWKU
60.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonSE Louisiana
60.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbiltWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSouth CarolinaWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasLouisiana TechVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaSE Louisiana
46.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechVanderbilt
45.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasLouisiana Tech
40.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechSE Louisiana
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaLouisiana Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
South CarolinaVanderbiltWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaSE LouisianaVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonTexas A&MVanderbilt
32.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechTexas A&M
31.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
30.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaWKU
30.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&MWKU
30.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechSouth Carolina
29.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
28.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaSE LouisianaVanderbilt
27.3%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisiana TechOklahoma
27.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonVanderbilt
27.2%
0.1%
ArkansasLouisiana TechSouth Carolina
25.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSE LouisianaTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaVanderbiltWKU
25.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaVanderbilt
24.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonOklahoma
24.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaSouth Carolina
23.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth CarolinaWKU
22.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaLouisiana Tech
21.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechOklahoma
21.1%
<0.1%
MississippiSE LouisianaVanderbilt
20.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonTexas A&M
20.3%
0.2%
AlabamaClemsonSouth Carolina
20.1%
0.2%
Louisiana TechSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasLouisiana TechOklahoma
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaWKU
20.0%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaTexas A&MVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
20.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiVanderbilt
19.9%
0.3%
AlabamaOklahomaSE Louisiana
19.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaSE Louisiana
18.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonSouth Carolina
18.4%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaWKU
18.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaWKU
17.4%
<0.1%
MississippiSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
17.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaSouth Carolina
16.8%
0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaWKU
16.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaTexas A&M
15.9%
0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFlorida
15.8%
0.2%
AlabamaMississippiSE Louisiana
15.7%
0.1%
ClemsonMississippiSouth Carolina
15.5%
0.7%
ClemsonFloridaOklahoma
15.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechMississippi
15.3%
0.1%
ClemsonMississippiTexas A&M
15.0%
0.5%
MississippiSouth CarolinaWKU
14.9%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiWKU
14.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonOklahoma
14.5%
0.2%
AlabamaVanderbiltWKU
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonMississippi
13.7%
1.3%
AlabamaMississippiWKU
13.6%
0.2%
ClemsonFloridaTexas A&M
13.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaVanderbilt
13.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemson
12.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiWKU
12.5%
<0.1%
OklahomaSE LouisianaVanderbilt
12.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaWKU
12.5%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahomaTexas A&M
12.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonMississippi
12.4%
0.3%
MississippiOklahomaSE Louisiana
11.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonFlorida
11.1%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippiSouth Carolina
10.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiOklahoma
10.1%
0.7%
AlabamaSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
9.4%
<0.1%
MississippiTexas A&MWKU
9.1%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
8.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippiTexas A&M
8.3%
<0.1%
MississippiSE LouisianaTexas A&M
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaSE LouisianaTexas A&M
8.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaMississippi
8.3%
0.4%
ArkansasClemsonTexas A&M
8.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiSE Louisiana
8.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasWKU
7.7%
<0.1%
MississippiVanderbiltWKU
7.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippiVanderbilt
7.1%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippiOklahoma
6.7%
<0.1%
MississippiOklahomaWKU
6.2%
0.1%
ArkansasFloridaTexas A&M
5.9%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiSE Louisiana
5.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaWKU
5.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaSouth Carolina
4.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasLouisiana TechMississippi
4.2%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&MVanderbilt
3.3%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisiana TechMississippi
2.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaVanderbilt
2.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&MVanderbilt
1.7%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaSouth Carolina
1.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiVanderbilt
1.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaMississippi
0.8%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
13.7%
2.5%
Louisiana TechOklahomaSE LouisianaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechOklahomaSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaSE LouisianaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaSouth CarolinaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaTexas A&MWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaSE LouisianaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechVanderbiltWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechOklahomaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonSE LouisianaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSE LouisianaVanderbiltWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechSouth CarolinaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSE LouisianaSouth CarolinaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechMississippiSE Louisiana
83.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonLouisiana TechSE Louisiana
80.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiSE LouisianaWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaSE LouisianaWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaTexas A&MVanderbilt
75.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonVanderbiltWKU
62.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaSE LouisianaSouth CarolinaWKU
62.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
57.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechMississippiWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonLouisiana TechWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
SE LouisianaSouth CarolinaVanderbiltWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechSouth CarolinaWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonLouisiana TechSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaLouisiana TechTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonLouisiana TechWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonOklahomaWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonSE Louisiana
45.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
40.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonSE LouisianaVanderbilt
40.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaSE LouisianaTexas A&M
37.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechMississippiSE Louisiana
35.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasLouisiana TechMississippiWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonLouisiana TechTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahomaVanderbiltWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaSE LouisianaVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonFloridaLouisiana Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippiOklahomaSE Louisiana
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonTexas A&MVanderbiltWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonSouth CarolinaTexas A&MWKU
30.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaOklahomaSE Louisiana
30.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonOklahomaSE Louisiana
28.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaOklahomaWKU
26.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonSE LouisianaSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaSE Louisiana
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechMississippiWKU
25.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaVanderbiltWKU
25.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaVanderbiltWKU
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonSouth CarolinaWKU
24.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaTexas A&MWKU
23.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
23.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonTexas A&MWKU
22.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonOklahomaWKU
21.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonLouisiana TechSouth Carolina
21.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaSE LouisianaVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippiSE LouisianaTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisiana TechVanderbiltWKU
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonLouisiana TechVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaSouth CarolinaWKU
17.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaLouisiana TechVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiSE LouisianaVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
MississippiOklahomaSE LouisianaWKU
16.7%
<0.1%
MississippiSE LouisianaTexas A&MWKU
16.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaSE LouisianaTexas A&M
16.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechOklahomaVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechMississippiTexas A&M
16.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaLouisiana Tech
15.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaSouth CarolinaWKU
14.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiSE LouisianaWKU
14.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiSE LouisianaTexas A&M
13.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechMississippiVanderbilt
13.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiTexas A&MWKU
13.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonLouisiana Tech
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonLouisiana TechTexas A&M
12.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechMississippiOklahoma
11.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
11.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonLouisiana TechOklahoma
11.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiOklahomaWKU
11.1%
0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechOklahomaSouth Carolina
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonSE LouisianaTexas A&M
11.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonLouisiana TechMississippi
10.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaWKU
10.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonMississippiSE Louisiana
10.0%
0.1%
AlabamaMississippiSE LouisianaWKU
10.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisiana TechMississippiSouth Carolina
10.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaLouisiana TechMississippi
10.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonWKU
10.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
10.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonOklahomaSE Louisiana
9.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiSouth CarolinaWKU
9.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiVanderbiltWKU
9.3%
<0.1%
MississippiSE LouisianaSouth CarolinaWKU
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonLouisiana TechMississippi
8.5%
0.1%
ClemsonMississippiSE LouisianaSouth Carolina
8.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonMississippiSE Louisiana
7.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonMississippiWKU
7.6%
0.2%
ClemsonFloridaMississippiWKU
7.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippiOklahomaSE Louisiana
7.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonTexas A&MVanderbilt
7.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaMississippiSE Louisiana
5.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonMississippiWKU
4.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasMississippiWKU
2.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonOklahomaVanderbilt
1.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaSouth Carolina
0.9%
0.1%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com