Texas

TexasLonghorns

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-08-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

25.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

TexasSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:27%
29/06
vsSan Jose StSJSU
Win prob:93%
39/13
vsUTEPUTEP
Win prob:98%
49/20
vsSam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:95%
610/04
@FloridaFLA
Win prob:67%
710/11
vsOklahomaOU(N)
Win prob:77%
810/18
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:85%
910/25
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:90%
1011/01
vsVanderbiltVAN
Win prob:92%
1211/15
@GeorgiaUGA
Win prob:19%
1311/22
vsArkansasARK
Win prob:88%
1411/28
vsTexas A&MTA&M
Win prob:77%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

TexasRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
4.9%
99.9%
7-1
27.3%
63.3%
6-2
36.6%
9.7%
5-3
22.3%
0.1%
4-4
7.3%
0%
3-5
1.5%
0%
2-6
0.1%
0%
1-7
0.0%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Texas CCG Opponents

if Texas makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
64.0%
Ole MissMississippi
23.2%
TennesseeTennessee
7.4%
AlabamaAlabama
2.9%
LSULSU
2.4%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

TexasThis Week's Impact

Game
TexasCCG OddsAway
TexasCCG OddsHome

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

TexasLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Texas CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
99.7%
1.1%
Any 1 loss
75.6%
9.6%
San Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
UTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio St
99.9%
3.1%
Arkansas
92.7%
0.1%
Vanderbilt
91.8%
0.1%
Texas A&M
89.3%
0.3%
Oklahoma
87.9%
0.3%
Mississippi St
77.8%
0.1%
Florida
75.4%
0.5%
Kentucky
73.0%
0.2%
Georgia
56.0%
4.6%
Any 2 losses
47.1%
27.4%
Ohio StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSan Jose St
100.0%
0.3%
Ohio StSam Houston St
100.0%
0.2%
San Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
UTEPVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas A&MUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StTexas A&M
95.5%
<0.1%
Ohio StVanderbilt
93.1%
0.3%
OklahomaSan Jose St
92.6%
<0.1%
OklahomaSam Houston St
92.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StTexas A&M
91.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio St
88.6%
0.4%
KentuckySam Houston St
87.5%
<0.1%
Ohio StOklahoma
87.2%
0.9%
Ohio StTexas A&M
86.4%
0.8%
Sam Houston StVanderbilt
85.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasSan Jose St
84.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasSam Houston St
83.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSan Jose St
83.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyUTEP
80.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio St
78.9%
0.3%
KentuckyOhio St
78.6%
0.5%
FloridaOhio St
76.5%
1.5%
FloridaSan Jose St
76.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasUTEP
75.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySan Jose St
72.7%
<0.1%
FloridaSam Houston St
72.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio St
56.2%
12.6%
GeorgiaSan Jose St
54.0%
0.4%
GeorgiaSam Houston St
53.3%
0.3%
GeorgiaUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi St
34.4%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi St
32.2%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbilt
32.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi St
28.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasTexas A&M
26.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexas A&M
24.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentucky
21.2%
<0.1%
Texas A&MVanderbilt
20.7%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTexas A&M
20.5%
<0.1%
FloridaKentucky
20.0%
0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&M
19.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahoma
18.4%
<0.1%
FloridaTexas A&M
18.0%
0.2%
ArkansasVanderbilt
17.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahoma
15.5%
0.2%
Mississippi StOklahoma
15.1%
<0.1%
FloridaVanderbilt
14.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasFlorida
13.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahoma
12.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaVanderbilt
11.7%
0.4%
GeorgiaKentucky
10.2%
0.8%
GeorgiaMississippi St
9.6%
0.6%
ArkansasGeorgia
8.9%
0.7%
GeorgiaTexas A&M
8.8%
1.4%
FloridaGeorgia
6.7%
2.2%
Mississippi StVanderbilt
6.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahoma
5.6%
1.4%
Any 3 losses
15.0%
26.8%
Ohio StSam Houston StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
San Jose StTexas A&MUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySam Houston StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasUTEPVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSam Houston StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSam Houston StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySam Houston StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSam Houston StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySam Houston StVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSam Houston StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTexas A&MUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSam Houston StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSan Jose StVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOklahomaSan Jose St
92.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StUTEP
92.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StSan Jose StTexas A&M
92.2%
<0.1%
Ohio StOklahomaSam Houston St
91.4%
<0.1%
Ohio StSam Houston StTexas A&M
87.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StSam Houston St
84.6%
<0.1%
Ohio StSam Houston StVanderbilt
84.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StSan Jose St
83.9%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StSan Jose St
81.1%
<0.1%
Ohio StSan Jose StVanderbilt
81.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StSam Houston St
80.8%
<0.1%
Ohio StUTEPVanderbilt
75.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSan Jose St
74.6%
0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StSan Jose St
73.9%
<0.1%
Ohio StTexas A&MUTEP
73.9%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StSam Houston St
71.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSan Jose StUTEP
70.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSam Houston St
69.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StUTEP
66.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StOklahomaUTEP
64.3%
<0.1%
FloridaSam Houston StTexas A&M
60.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StUTEP
57.8%
0.2%
Mississippi StOhio StUTEP
57.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StSam Houston St
56.5%
0.6%
GeorgiaOhio StSan Jose St
56.5%
1.0%
GeorgiaSam Houston StSan Jose St
52.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&MUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSan Jose StVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaSan Jose St
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaSam Houston StVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StVanderbilt
30.8%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckySam Houston St
28.6%
<0.1%
Ohio StTexas A&MVanderbilt
27.5%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StVanderbilt
25.3%
0.1%
ArkansasFloridaSam Houston St
25.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOklahomaVanderbilt
24.2%
0.1%
FloridaMississippi StOhio St
23.9%
0.2%
ArkansasKentuckyOhio St
23.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSam Houston StUTEP
22.2%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyOhio St
21.8%
0.2%
ArkansasMississippi StOhio St
21.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaUTEP
21.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StOklahoma
21.2%
0.2%
Ohio StOklahomaTexas A&M
20.8%
0.3%
ArkansasFloridaOhio St
20.7%
0.2%
KentuckyOhio StTexas A&M
20.6%
0.2%
ArkansasOhio StOklahoma
20.0%
0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StOhio St
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaUTEP
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StSan Jose St
20.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaSam Houston St
20.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StOklahoma
18.1%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StTexas A&M
17.0%
0.1%
FloridaOhio StOklahoma
16.7%
0.5%
Mississippi StOhio StVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckySam Houston St
16.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasSan Jose StTexas A&M
16.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StTexas A&M
16.5%
0.1%
FloridaOhio StTexas A&M
16.5%
0.4%
GeorgiaKentuckySan Jose St
15.8%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckySan Jose St
14.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaUTEP
14.3%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaSan Jose St
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StSam Houston St
13.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StVanderbilt
13.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StSan Jose St
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StVanderbilt
11.7%
1.1%
FloridaSan Jose StTexas A&M
11.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaUTEPVanderbilt
11.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSam Houston St
11.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyOhio St
10.7%
2.3%
FloridaGeorgiaUTEP
10.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSam Houston StVanderbilt
10.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSam Houston StTexas A&M
9.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaSan Jose St
9.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StTexas A&M
9.8%
3.6%
GeorgiaMississippi StOhio St
9.3%
1.4%
FloridaGeorgiaSam Houston St
8.9%
0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyUTEP
8.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaSan Jose St
8.1%
0.2%
ArkansasGeorgiaOhio St
7.6%
1.7%
FloridaGeorgiaOhio St
6.5%
6.2%
GeorgiaSan Jose StVanderbilt
6.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StOklahoma
5.9%
3.7%
GeorgiaTexas A&MUTEP
4.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaSam Houston St
4.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSan Jose StTexas A&M
4.0%
0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSan Jose St
3.8%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
10.7%
3.9%
Ohio StSan Jose StTexas A&MUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSam Houston StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StSam Houston StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSam Houston StSan Jose StVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSam Houston StTexas A&MUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSam Houston StUTEPVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSam Houston StSan Jose StTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSam Houston StSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StSam Houston StSan Jose St
75.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StSan Jose StUTEP
66.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StSan Jose StVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSam Houston StUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSam Houston StSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StOhio StUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOklahomaSam Houston StSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StSam Houston StVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StSan Jose StVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckySan Jose StVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StUTEPVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSan Jose StUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSam Houston StSan Jose StTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StSam Houston StSan Jose St
49.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StSam Houston StUTEP
45.5%
<0.1%
Ohio StOklahomaSan Jose StVanderbilt
44.4%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StSam Houston StTexas A&M
40.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StOklahomaSam Houston St
37.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaOhio StSan Jose St
35.7%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StSam Houston StVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSan Jose StVanderbilt
30.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StOklahomaUTEP
28.6%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StOklahomaSam Houston St
28.6%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyOhio StSan Jose St
27.6%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StOklahomaSam Houston St
26.1%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyOhio StSam Houston St
25.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StOklahomaSan Jose St
25.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StSam Houston StTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyOhio StUTEP
25.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StOklahomaSan Jose St
25.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckyOhio StSan Jose St
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StUTEPVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StTexas A&MUTEP
25.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOklahomaTexas A&MUTEP
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StOhio StSan Jose St
23.8%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSam Houston StVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StOklahomaSan Jose St
20.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOhio StSan Jose StTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyOhio StUTEP
17.8%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSan Jose StTexas A&M
17.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StUTEPVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StSam Houston StTexas A&MVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyOhio StOklahomaSam Houston St
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StSan Jose StTexas A&M
15.9%
0.3%
GeorgiaMississippi StOhio StSan Jose St
14.9%
0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StSan Jose StVanderbilt
14.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasOhio StSan Jose StTexas A&M
14.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StOhio StSam Houston St
14.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaOhio StSan Jose St
13.5%
0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyOhio StSam Houston St
12.8%
0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StOhio StUTEP
12.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StOhio StSan Jose St
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyOhio StSan Jose St
11.1%
0.2%
Ohio StOklahomaSam Houston StTexas A&M
11.1%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StOklahomaSan Jose St
10.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StOhio StSam Houston St
9.9%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaOhio StSam Houston St
9.4%
0.3%
ArkansasOhio StSam Houston StTexas A&M
9.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaOhio StUTEP
8.9%
<0.1%
FloridaOhio StSam Houston StTexas A&M
8.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StSam Houston StTexas A&M
8.7%
0.2%
GeorgiaOhio StTexas A&MUTEP
8.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaOhio StSam Houston St
6.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaOhio StUTEP
5.9%
0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StOklahomaSam Houston St
5.8%
0.2%
GeorgiaOhio StSam Houston StVanderbilt
5.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StOklahomaSan Jose St
5.3%
0.3%
FloridaGeorgiaOhio StSan Jose St
5.3%
0.4%
FloridaOhio StTexas A&MVanderbilt
2.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaOhio StSam Houston St
2.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOhio StOklahomaUTEP
2.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StOhio StVanderbilt
1.6%
0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi StOhio St
0.8%
0.3%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com