Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/23 | W31-7 | |
| 1 | 8/29 | W46-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L31-42 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W41-10 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L34-37 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W27-20 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L17-42 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | L17-42 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:97% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:63% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:42% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:37% |
Data from 2025-10-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 9.5% | 0.3% |
| 5-4 | 35.1% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 40.6% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 14.4% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 0.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-26
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-10-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
ColoradoKansas
Kansas State
West Virginia
Cincinnati
Baylor
Iowa StateCCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 0.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Kansas
UtahIowa StateCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 42.5%
Data from 2025-10-26
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-26