VanderbiltCommodores

7-1 T5th (3-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-26 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsCharleston SouthernCHSO	W45-3
2	9/06	@Virginia TechVT	W44-20
3	9/13	@South CarolinaSC	W31-7
4	9/20	vsGeorgia StateGAST	W70-21
5	9/27	vsUtah StateUSU	W55-35
6	10/04	@AlabamaALA	L14-30
8	10/18	vsLSULSU	W31-24
9	10/25	vsMissouriMIZ	W17-10
10	11/01	@TexasTEX	Win prob:20%
11	11/08	vsAuburnAUB	Win prob:68%
13	11/22	vsKentuckyUK	Win prob:83%
14	11/29	@TennesseeTENN	Win prob:36%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	3.9%	51.0%
6-2	25.9%	1.4%
5-3	45.2%	0%
4-4	22.1%	0%
3-5	2.9%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

77.7%

11.2%

5.6%

5.2%

0.4%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
GeorgiaUGA@FloridaFLA	2.1% (-0.2%)	4.7% (+2.3%)
OklahomaOU@TennesseeTENN	2.3% (+0.0%)	2.3% (+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@AuburnAUB	2.4% (+0.1%)	2.3% (-0.0%)
South CarolinaSC@Ole MissMISS	4.9% (+2.6%)	2.1% (-0.3%)
Mississippi StateMSST@ArkansasARK	2.0% (-0.4%)	2.5% (+0.1%)
VanderbiltVAN@TexasTEX	11.4% (+9.1%)	0.1% (-2.2%)

Best Winner Combination for

Florida

Oklahoma

Kentucky

South Carolina

Mississippi State

Vanderbilt

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Vanderbilt

CCG: 11.4% • Scenario: 19.6%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

51.0%

3.9%

Any 1 loss

1.4%

25.9%

3.0%

0.8%

2.8%

7.1%

2.2%

1.8%

0.7%

16.1%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com