Rice

RiceOwls

1-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

RiceSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
@LouisianaUL
W14-12
29/06
vsHoustonHOU
Win prob:52%
39/13
vsPrairie View A&MPV
Win prob:90%
49/18
@CharlotteCLT
Win prob:59%
59/27
@NavyNAVY
Win prob:18%
610/04
vsFL AtlanticFAU
Win prob:71%
710/11
@UT San AntonioUTSA
Win prob:22%
910/25
vsUConnCONN
Win prob:41%
1010/31
vsMemphisMEM
Win prob:23%
1111/08
vsUABUAB
Win prob:60%
1311/22
vsNorth TexasUNT
Win prob:47%
1411/29
@South FloridaUSF
Win prob:17%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.3%
93.2%
6-2
2.8%
28.1%
5-3
11.0%
0.2%
4-4
24.7%
0%
3-5
31.2%
0%
2-6
21.5%
0%
1-7
7.5%
0%
0-8
1.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Rice CCG Opponents

if Rice makes the CCG

TulaneTulane
32.0%
MemphisMemphis
24.0%
ArmyArmy
20.0%
NavyNavy
12.0%
South FloridaSouth Florida
12.0%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceThis Week's Impact

Game
RiceCCG OddsAway
RiceCCG OddsHome
MemphisMEM@Georgia StGAST
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
Texas StTXST@UT San AntonioUTSA
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@FloridaFLA
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
Florida A&MFAMU@FL AtlanticFAU
0.9%
(-0.2%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@CharlotteCLT
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@South AlabamaUSA
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@New Mexico StNMSU
1.0%
(-0.2%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
HowardHOW@TempleTEM
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
HoustonHOU@RiceRICE
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
UABUAB@NavyNAVY
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
CampbellCAM@East CarolinaECU
0.9%
(-0.2%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
North TexasUNT@W MichiganWMU
1.2%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
ArmyARMY@Kansas StKSU
1.2%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Rice CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
94.0%
<0.1%
Memphis
100.0%
<0.1%
Navy
100.0%
<0.1%
North Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
Charlotte
100.0%
<0.1%
Houston
100.0%
<0.1%
UConn
100.0%
<0.1%
UAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL Atlantic
100.0%
<0.1%
South Florida
90.0%
<0.1%
UT San Antonio
88.9%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
42.6%
0.7%
UABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
North TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConn
96.5%
<0.1%
UConnUT San Antonio
95.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavy
92.9%
<0.1%
HoustonUT San Antonio
91.7%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth Florida
84.2%
<0.1%
MemphisUConn
69.2%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
NavyNorth Texas
62.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphis
50.0%
<0.1%
UABUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth Texas
50.0%
<0.1%
NavyUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUT San Antonio
42.9%
<0.1%
MemphisUAB
42.9%
<0.1%
North TexasUT San Antonio
42.1%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteFL Atlantic
33.3%
<0.1%
NavyUT San Antonio
25.5%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUT San Antonio
24.5%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth Florida
23.3%
<0.1%
NavySouth Florida
21.2%
0.1%
MemphisNavy
19.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavy
17.6%
<0.1%
South FloridaUT San Antonio
17.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
27.4%
1.7%
HoustonUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePrairie View A&MSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteFL AtlanticHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePrairie View A&MUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNorth TexasPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUConn
96.4%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUConn
94.1%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUConn
92.3%
<0.1%
HoustonPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
75.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUAB
71.4%
<0.1%
UABUConnUT San Antonio
69.2%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonNavy
62.5%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUAB
60.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMemphisUConn
60.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth TexasPrairie View A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUConnUT San Antonio
45.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasUT San Antonio
44.4%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUT San Antonio
43.7%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUT San Antonio
42.9%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
37.5%
<0.1%
MemphisUABUConn
37.5%
<0.1%
NavyNorth TexasUConn
36.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisUConn
35.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticSouth FloridaUConn
35.7%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyNorth Texas
33.3%
<0.1%
North TexasUConnUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth FloridaUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyPrairie View A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
NavyUABUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNavy
33.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonMemphis
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNorth Texas
31.8%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasSouth Florida
31.3%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
29.8%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyUConn
28.6%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticUConnUT San Antonio
28.6%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
28.6%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphis
28.6%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MUT San Antonio
28.6%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
27.2%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUConn
25.9%
0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNorth TexasUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
23.0%
<0.1%
NavyUConnUT San Antonio
22.3%
0.1%
MemphisUConnUT San Antonio
21.4%
<0.1%
South FloridaUABUConn
21.4%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUT San Antonio
20.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteFL AtlanticMemphis
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth Florida
17.9%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
17.9%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth TexasUConn
16.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUT San Antonio
15.4%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavy
14.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteFL AtlanticSouth Florida
14.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonSouth Florida
14.3%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth Florida
12.7%
<0.1%
MemphisPrairie View A&MUT San Antonio
10.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSouth Florida
6.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisUT San Antonio
3.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavySouth Florida
2.9%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUT San Antonio
0.5%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
16.8%
1.3%
FL AtlanticPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPrairie View A&MUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonPrairie View A&MUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonPrairie View A&MUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePrairie View A&MUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
North TexasPrairie View A&MUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMemphisPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasPrairie View A&MUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MUABUConn
80.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNorth TexasUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
75.0%
<0.1%
NavyNorth TexasPrairie View A&MUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasUABUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyPrairie View A&MUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonNavyUConn
55.6%
<0.1%
CharlottePrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
North TexasPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteFL AtlanticHoustonNorth Texas
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasUConnUT San Antonio
48.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUConnUT San Antonio
45.5%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUABUConn
42.9%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNavyUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSouth FloridaUConn
38.9%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUConnUT San Antonio
38.5%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
37.5%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUConnUT San Antonio
34.7%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyNorth TexasUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUABUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisPrairie View A&MUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUConnUT San Antonio
32.4%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
31.1%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNorth TexasUConn
30.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasSouth FloridaUConn
27.3%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MSouth FloridaUABUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavyUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MUConnUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUABUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonSouth FloridaUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonMemphisUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth FloridaUConn
18.8%
0.1%
MemphisNavyPrairie View A&MUConn
16.7%
<0.1%
MemphisPrairie View A&MUConnUT San Antonio
14.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphisUConn
10.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth FloridaUConn
10.3%
<0.1%
MemphisPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
10.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
7.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonMemphisUT San Antonio
7.1%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonMemphisNavy
5.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNorth TexasSouth FloridaUConn
4.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphisNavy
3.1%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavySouth FloridaUConn
2.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth TexasUConnUT San Antonio
1.6%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavySouth FloridaUConn
1.2%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
0.7%
0.3%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com