UAB

UABBlazers

1-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

UABSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsAlabama StateALST
W52-42
29/06
@NavyNAVY
Win prob:17%
39/13
vsAkronAKR
Win prob:69%
49/20
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:4%
610/04
vsArmyARMY
Win prob:21%
710/11
@FL AtlanticFAU
Win prob:53%
810/18
vsMemphisMEM
Win prob:21%
1011/01
@UConnCONN
Win prob:25%
1111/08
@RiceRICE
Win prob:40%
1211/15
vsNorth TexasUNT
Win prob:45%
1311/22
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:26%
1411/29
@TulsaTLSA
Win prob:78%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

UABRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.3%
93.3%
6-2
2.2%
33.3%
5-3
9.2%
0.3%
4-4
22.3%
0%
3-5
30.9%
0%
2-6
24.4%
0%
1-7
9.4%
0%
0-8
1.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely UAB CCG Opponents

if UAB makes the CCG

TulaneTulane
26.4%
MemphisMemphis
26.4%
ArmyArmy
22.0%
South FloridaSouth Florida
14.3%
NavyNavy
11.0%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

UABThis Week's Impact

Game
UABCCG OddsAway
UABCCG OddsHome
MemphisMEM@Georgia StGAST
1.0%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
Texas StTXST@UT San AntonioUTSA
1.0%
(-0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@FloridaFLA
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
Florida A&MFAMU@FL AtlanticFAU
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@CharlotteCLT
1.0%
(-0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.1%)
TulaneTULN@South AlabamaUSA
1.0%
(-0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.1%)
TulsaTLSA@New Mexico StNMSU
1.0%
(-0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
HowardHOW@TempleTEM
0.9%
(-0.2%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
HoustonHOU@RiceRICE
1.0%
(-0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
UABUAB@NavyNAVY
3.6%
(+2.6%)		0.5%
(-0.5%)
CampbellCAM@East CarolinaECU
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.0%)
North TexasUNT@W MichiganWMU
1.0%
(+0.0%)		1.0%
(-0.0%)
ArmyARMY@Kansas StKSU
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

UABLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UAB CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Tennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Navy
100.0%
<0.1%
North Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
87.8%
<0.1%
NavyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
North TexasTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
North TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyFL Atlantic
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennessee
83.3%
<0.1%
MemphisTennessee
55.6%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphis
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
52.8%
0.5%
North TexasTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyRice
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
North TexasRiceUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNorth TexasSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNorth TexasTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth TexasTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennesseeUConn
96.4%
<0.1%
NavyTennesseeUConn
93.6%
<0.1%
MemphisTennesseeUConn
89.5%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticTennesseeUConn
85.7%
<0.1%
AkronNavyTennessee
83.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticRiceTennessee
80.0%
<0.1%
RiceTennesseeTulsa
66.7%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth FloridaUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NavyRiceUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaTennessee
44.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticSouth FloridaTennessee
42.9%
<0.1%
NavyRiceTennessee
41.7%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
North TexasTennesseeTulsa
40.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMemphisTennessee
37.5%
<0.1%
MemphisRiceTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth TexasTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNorth TexasTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
NavyTennesseeTulsa
33.3%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaTennessee
28.6%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyTennessee
28.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyFL AtlanticTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNorth TexasUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyTennessee
22.7%
<0.1%
NavyNorth TexasTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRiceTennessee
17.6%
<0.1%
North TexasRiceTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth FloridaTennessee
11.1%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
32.5%
1.5%
AkronNavyTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmySouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticTennesseeTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNorth TexasTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticRiceTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronTennesseeTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSouth FloridaTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceTennesseeTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
88.9%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisNorth TexasTennessee
87.5%
<0.1%
AkronArmyTennesseeUConn
85.7%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisTennesseeUConn
72.7%
<0.1%
North TexasRiceTennesseeUConn
70.0%
<0.1%
NavyTennesseeTulsaUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
62.5%
<0.1%
AkronNavyNorth TexasTennessee
60.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceSouth FloridaTennessee
60.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyRiceTennessee
57.1%
<0.1%
NavyNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
56.6%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisRiceTennessee
55.6%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
53.8%
<0.1%
North TexasTennesseeTulsaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyNorth TexasTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronNorth TexasSouth FloridaTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyTennesseeUConn
44.8%
<0.1%
NavyRiceTennesseeUConn
44.7%
<0.1%
ArmyRiceTennesseeUConn
42.9%
<0.1%
MemphisRiceTennesseeUConn
42.9%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
42.9%
<0.1%
ArmyFL AtlanticTennesseeUConn
42.3%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticNavyTennessee
40.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTennesseeTulsaUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
38.1%
<0.1%
AkronArmyMemphisTennessee
36.8%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisNavyTennessee
36.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyFL AtlanticTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
31.5%
0.1%
FL AtlanticMemphisTennesseeUConn
31.3%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisSouth FloridaTennessee
30.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
29.9%
<0.1%
ArmyNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
29.4%
<0.1%
MemphisTennesseeTulsaUConn
27.3%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
25.8%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyTennesseeUConn
22.9%
0.1%
ArmyMemphisTennesseeUConn
21.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticRiceTennesseeUConn
21.4%
<0.1%
AkronNavySouth FloridaTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyRiceTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyTennesseeUConn
18.5%
0.1%
AkronArmySouth FloridaTennessee
18.2%
<0.1%
AkronArmyNavyTennessee
15.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyRiceUConn
11.1%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyNorth TexasTennessee
7.1%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisNavyUConn
3.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNavySouth FloridaTennessee
0.9%
0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

UABCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com