Florida

FloridaGators

1-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

FloridaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsLong Island UniversityLIU
W55-0
29/06
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:74%
39/13
@LSULSU
Win prob:35%
49/20
@Miami FLMIA
Win prob:33%
610/04
vsTexasTEX
Win prob:33%
710/11
@Texas A&MTA&M
Win prob:39%
810/18
vsMississippi StMSST
Win prob:86%
1011/01
vsGeorgiaUGA(N)
Win prob:10%
1111/08
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:66%
1211/15
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:14%
1311/22
vsTennesseeTENN
Win prob:41%
1411/29
vsFlorida StFSU
Win prob:81%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

FloridaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.4%
95.4%
6-2
2.9%
39.1%
5-3
11.6%
0.5%
4-4
25.4%
0%
3-5
31.9%
0%
2-6
20.8%
0%
1-7
6.3%
0%
0-8
0.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Florida CCG Opponents

if Florida makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
64.5%
Ole MissMississippi
19.9%
TexasTexas
7.8%
TennesseeTennessee
5.7%
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
2.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

FloridaThis Week's Impact

Game
FloridaCCG OddsAway
FloridaCCG OddsHome
South FloridaUSF@FloridaFLA
1.6%
(+0.0%)		1.5%
(-0.0%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU
1.6%
(+0.0%)		1.5%
(-0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@LSULSU
1.5%
(-0.1%)		1.5%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@ArkansasARK
1.5%
(+0.0%)		1.5%
(+0.0%)
Austin PeayAPSU@GeorgiaUGA
1.7%
(+0.2%)		1.5%
(-0.0%)
South Carolina StateSCST@South CarolinaSC
1.4%
(-0.1%)		1.6%
(+0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@TexasTEX
1.4%
(-0.1%)		1.5%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@AuburnAUB
1.4%
(-0.2%)		1.5%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@Texas A&MTA&M
1.6%
(+0.1%)		1.5%
(-0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@Virginia TechVT
1.5%
(+0.0%)		1.5%
(+0.0%)
East Tennessee StateETSU@TennesseeTENN
1.6%
(+0.1%)		1.5%
(-0.0%)
ULMULM@AlabamaALA
1.5%
(-0.1%)		1.5%
(+0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Mississippi StMSST
1.6%
(+0.0%)		1.5%
(-0.1%)
MississippiMISS@KentuckyUK
1.5%
(-0.1%)		2.0%
(+0.4%)
KansasKU@MissouriMIZ
1.5%
(-0.0%)		1.6%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

FloridaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Florida CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
96.1%
<0.1%
LSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Kentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
South Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi
84.2%
<0.1%
Tennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
50.5%
0.7%
South FloridaTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgia
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi
95.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FL
93.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth Florida
91.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLTexas A&M
90.0%
<0.1%
LSUTennessee
80.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLTexas
77.8%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas A&M
77.8%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi St
75.0%
<0.1%
LSUTexas A&M
75.0%
<0.1%
MississippiMississippi St
75.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSU
60.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi
58.3%
<0.1%
TexasTexas A&M
57.1%
<0.1%
LSUTexas
53.8%
<0.1%
MississippiTennessee
51.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas A&M
46.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSU
45.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentucky
43.8%
<0.1%
MississippiTexas A&M
41.9%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas
36.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexas
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas
31.5%
<0.1%
MississippiTexas
27.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi
23.3%
0.2%
Any 3 losses
29.6%
2.3%
LSUMiami FLSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSouth FloridaTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSouth FloridaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyLSU
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTexasTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi StTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMiami FL
90.9%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLMississippi
90.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaTexas A&M
87.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLMississippi St
75.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaTexas A&M
70.0%
<0.1%
MississippiSouth FloridaTexas A&M
66.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiMississippi St
66.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLTennesseeTexas A&M
64.3%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaTexas
62.5%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLTexas
61.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLTexas A&M
60.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLTexasTexas A&M
58.3%
<0.1%
LSUMississippiSouth Florida
58.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLTexas A&M
57.3%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiTennessee
55.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMiami FL
54.5%
0.1%
LSUMiami FLTexas A&M
52.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaKentucky
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLTennesseeTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckySouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiTexas A&M
47.6%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLTennessee
46.2%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLMississippi
44.9%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiTennessee
43.4%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaTennessee
42.9%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennesseeTexas A&M
40.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMiami FL
40.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLTexas
39.3%
0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaTennessee
38.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLMississippi
37.5%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaLSU
36.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLTennessee
34.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUMiami FL
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMississippi
33.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi StTexas
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUTexas
33.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiTexas
32.0%
<0.1%
MississippiSouth FloridaTexas
31.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaTexas
29.4%
<0.1%
MississippiSouth FloridaTennessee
28.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiSouth Florida
27.3%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMississippi
27.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippiSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennesseeTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StTexas
22.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLMississippi
21.7%
0.3%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi St
20.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiTexas
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMississippi St
16.7%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiTexas A&M
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyTexas A&M
6.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyTennessee
4.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUTennessee
1.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi
1.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiTexas A&M
0.8%
0.2%
GeorgiaMississippiTennessee
0.8%
0.3%
Any 4 losses
16.8%
1.8%
Miami FLMississippi StSouth FloridaTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLSouth FloridaTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLSouth FloridaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMiami FLSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMiami FLSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMiami FLTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiMississippi StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMississippi StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMiami FLMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLMississippiSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi StSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMiami FLTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyMiami FLSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLTennesseeTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMiami FLSouth Florida
80.0%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLSouth FloridaTexas A&M
75.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSouth FloridaTexasTexas A&M
75.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLTennesseeTexas
71.4%
<0.1%
Miami FLSouth FloridaTennesseeTexas A&M
71.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLSouth FloridaTexas A&M
66.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUMiami FLSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMiami FLTexas A&M
64.7%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMiami FLMississippi
60.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaSouth FloridaTexas A&M
60.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyMiami FLMississippi
60.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLMississippiTexas
60.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMiami FLSouth Florida
57.6%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiSouth FloridaTexas A&M
56.3%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLMississippiTexas A&M
55.6%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiSouth FloridaTennessee
52.4%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLTexasTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaSouth FloridaTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiSouth FloridaTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyLSUMiami FL
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiSouth FloridaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMiami FLMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMiami FLTennessee
47.1%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLMississippiSouth Florida
44.8%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMiami FLTennessee
42.9%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaLSUMiami FL
41.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLSouth FloridaTennessee
39.1%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiSouth FloridaTexas
38.7%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLSouth FloridaTennessee
37.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLSouth FloridaTexas
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaKentuckyMiami FL
33.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiMississippi StSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLMississippiSouth Florida
32.2%
0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMiami FLTexas
29.6%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLMississippiTennessee
29.4%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaLSUSouth Florida
28.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLSouth FloridaTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaSouth FloridaTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLMississippi StSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMississippiSouth Florida
22.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLSouth FloridaTexas
21.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLSouth FloridaTennesseeTexas
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLMississippi StTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMiami FLMississippi
13.7%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaTexasTexas A&M
12.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUMiami FLTexas
11.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLTennesseeTexas A&M
10.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMississippiTexas A&M
8.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMiami FLTexas A&M
4.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUMiami FLMississippi
2.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaTexasTexas A&M
2.8%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLMississippiTexas A&M
2.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMiami FLTennessee
2.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyLSUMiami FL
2.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMiami FLTexas
1.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMiami FLMississippi
1.4%
0.1%
Miami FLMississippiTexasTexas A&M
0.8%
0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMiami FLTennessee
0.8%
0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMiami FLTexas A&M
0.7%
0.1%
LSUMiami FLMississippiTexas
0.7%
0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

FloridaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com