SyracuseOrange

3-1 T1st (1-0) in ACC

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

4.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsTennesseeTENN(N)	L26-45
2	9/06	vsUConnCONN	W27-20
3	9/12	vsColgateCOLG	W66-24
4	9/20	@ClemsonCLEM	W34-21
5	9/27	vsDukeDUKE	Win prob:60%
6	10/04	@SMUSMU	Win prob:16%
8	10/18	vsPittsburghPITT	Win prob:53%
9	10/25	@Georgia TechGT	Win prob:31%
10	10/31	vsNorth CarolinaUNC	Win prob:63%
11	11/08	@MiamiMIA	Win prob:9%
13	11/22	@Notre DameND	Win prob:2%
14	11/29	vsBoston CollegeBC	Win prob:59%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0.1%	100.0%
7-1	1.1%	95.1%
6-2	7.2%	38.8%
5-3	22.2%	1.4%
4-4	32.4%	0%
3-5	25.6%	0%
2-6	9.9%	0%
1-7	1.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

60.4%

14.0%

12.9%

7.3%

5.4%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
DukeDUKE@SyracuseSYR	1.1% (-3.0%)	6.3% (+2.1%)
LouisvilleLOU@PittsburghPITT	3.9% (-0.3%)	5.1% (+0.9%)
Georgia TechGT@Wake ForestWAKE	4.1% (-0.1%)	4.4% (+0.2%)
Florida StateFSU@VirginiaUVA	4.3% (+0.1%)	4.2% (-0.1%)
CaliforniaCAL@Boston CollegeBC	3.8% (-0.4%)	4.7% (+0.5%)
San José StateSJSU@StanfordSTAN	4.2% (-0.1%)	4.3% (+0.1%)
Virginia TechVT@NC StateNCSU	4.5% (+0.4%)	4.0% (-0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for

Syracuse

Pittsburgh

Wake Forest

Virginia

Boston College

San José State

Virginia Tech

CCG: 11.2% • Scenario: 0.3%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Syracuse

CCG: 6.3% • Scenario: 59.6%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

90.1%

1.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

98.3%

0.1%

97.8%

<0.1%

97.7%

<0.1%

94.6%

0.5%

93.9%

<0.1%

92.8%

0.3%

50.0%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

29.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

38.4%

7.2%

72.4%

<0.1%

72.4%

<0.1%

70.0%

<0.1%

67.6%

<0.1%

65.3%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

61.5%

<0.1%

59.7%

<0.1%

56.6%

0.1%

55.1%

0.2%

55.0%

<0.1%

50.5%

0.2%

48.3%

0.3%

47.8%

0.2%

47.1%

0.4%

46.6%

0.3%

45.0%

0.2%

42.6%

0.6%

42.2%

0.4%

39.8%

1.1%

27.0%

2.8%

12.5%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

4.5%

<0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

2.4%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com