Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | L11-34 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L3-20 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W42-35 | |
| 4 | 9/18 | L17-28 | |
| 6 | 10/03 | Win prob:12% | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:6% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:55% | |
| 9 | 10/24 | Win prob:11% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:12% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:19% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:1% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:7% |
Data from 2025-09-28
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-2 | 0% | 50.0% |
| 5-3 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 1.1% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 7.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 25.5% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 43.9% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 22.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-09-28
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Memphis
Rice
UABCharlotte
UTSA
NavyCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 0.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
MemphisRiceCharlotteUTSANavyCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 4.7%
Data from 2025-09-28
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-09-28