PittsburghPanthers

2-2 T10th (0-1) in ACC

Data from 2025-09-28 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsDuquesneDUQ	W61-9
2	9/06	vsCentral MichiganCMU	W45-17
3	9/13	@West VirginiaWVU	L24-31
5	9/27	vsLouisvilleLOU	L27-34
6	10/04	vsBoston CollegeBC	Win prob:63%
7	10/11	@Florida StateFSU	Win prob:33%
8	10/18	@SyracuseSYR	Win prob:38%
9	10/25	vsNC StateNCSU	Win prob:60%
10	11/01	@StanfordSTAN	Win prob:76%
12	11/15	vsNotre DameND	Win prob:4%
13	11/22	@Georgia TechGT	Win prob:33%
14	11/29	vsMiamiMIA	Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.2%	95.5%
6-2	2.4%	24.0%
5-3	10.9%	0.2%
4-4	25.6%	0%
3-5	32.1%	0%
2-6	21.0%	0%
1-7	7.0%	0%
0-8	0.9%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

41.4%

32.9%

12.9%

7.1%

5.7%

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MiamiMIA@Florida StateFSU	0.7% (-0.1%)	1.0% (+0.2%)
SyracuseSYR@SMUSMU	0.9% (+0.2%)	0.7% (-0.1%)
Wake ForestWAKE@Virginia TechVT	0.8% (-0.0%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
VirginiaUVA@LouisvilleLOU	0.7% (-0.0%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
DukeDUKE@CaliforniaCAL	0.7% (-0.0%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
ClemsonCLEM@North CarolinaUNC	0.7% (-0.0%)	0.8% (+0.1%)
Boston CollegeBC@PittsburghPITT	0.1% (-0.7%)	1.1% (+0.4%)
CampbellCAM@NC StateNCSU	0.9% (+0.1%)	0.7% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Florida State

Syracuse

Virginia Tech

Virginia

Duke

Clemson

Boston College

Campbell

CCG: 25.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Pittsburgh

CCG: 1.1% • Scenario: 63.1%

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

71.7%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

95.3%

0.2%

40.0%

<0.1%

23.1%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

15.6%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

24.2%

2.3%

39.7%

0.4%

32.8%

0.1%

30.0%

0.1%

28.0%

0.3%

25.8%

<0.1%

23.8%

0.4%

15.3%

0.9%

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com