SyracuseOrange

3-2 T7th (1-1) in ACC

Data from 2025-09-28 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsTennesseeTENN(N)	L26-45
2	9/06	vsUConnCONN	W27-20
3	9/12	vsColgateCOLG	W66-24
4	9/20	@ClemsonCLEM	W34-21
5	9/27	vsDukeDUKE	L3-38
6	10/04	@SMUSMU	Win prob:23%
8	10/18	vsPittsburghPITT	Win prob:62%
9	10/25	@Georgia TechGT	Win prob:37%
10	10/31	vsNorth CarolinaUNC	Win prob:76%
11	11/08	@MiamiMIA	Win prob:11%
13	11/22	@Notre DameND	Win prob:2%
14	11/29	vsBoston CollegeBC	Win prob:67%

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.3%	97.4%
6-2	4.2%	38.6%
5-3	19.0%	0.5%
4-4	35.8%	0%
3-5	29.1%	0%
2-6	10.2%	0%
1-7	1.4%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

51.4%

24.3%

9.0%

8.5%

6.8%

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MiamiMIA@Florida StateFSU	1.9% (-0.1%)	2.2% (+0.3%)
SyracuseSYR@SMUSMU	6.7% (+4.8%)	0.6% (-1.4%)
Wake ForestWAKE@Virginia TechVT	2.1% (+0.1%)	1.9% (-0.1%)
VirginiaUVA@LouisvilleLOU	1.8% (-0.2%)	2.0% (+0.1%)
DukeDUKE@CaliforniaCAL	2.0% (+0.0%)	2.0% (+0.0%)
ClemsonCLEM@North CarolinaUNC	2.0% (-0.0%)	2.0% (+0.1%)
Boston CollegeBC@PittsburghPITT	2.0% (-0.0%)	2.0% (+0.0%)
CampbellCAM@NC StateNCSU	1.9% (-0.1%)	2.0% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Florida State

Syracuse

Virginia Tech

Virginia

California

North Carolina

Pittsburgh

Campbell

CCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Syracuse

CCG: 6.7% • Scenario: 22.9%

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

81.1%

0.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

97.3%

0.3%

66.7%

<0.1%

54.5%

<0.1%

44.8%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

37.0%

4.3%

64.8%

<0.1%

60.0%

0.1%

53.4%

0.2%

47.2%

0.5%

40.9%

0.9%

32.9%

2.3%

0.6%

0.2%

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-28 • SportsSimulate.com