Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.9%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L10-17 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W27-16 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L21-24 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L21-34 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W38-10 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:67% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:51% | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:64% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:68% | |
| 12 | 11/14 | Win prob:28% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:90% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:37% |
Data from 2025-10-05
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 4.3% | 19.9% |
| 5-3 | 21.1% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 36.2% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 27.4% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 9.7% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 1.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-05
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-10-05
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9% (-0.0%) | 0.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 1.3% (+0.4%) | 0.0% (-0.9%) | |
| 0.9% (+0.0%) | 0.9% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.8% (-0.1%) | 0.9% (+0.1%) | |
| 1.3% (+0.4%) | 0.7% (-0.2%) | |
| 0.8% (-0.1%) | 0.9% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
NC StateClemson
Oregon State
Pittsburgh
Virginia TechCCG: 4.0% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
ClemsonCCG: 1.3% • Scenario: 67.4%
Data from 2025-10-05
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
20.3%
1.4%Any 1 loss
15.7%
3.3%
20.9%
0.1%
19.5%
2.5%
0.9%
0.7%Data from 2025-10-05
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-05