Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.8%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | L10-17 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W27-16 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L21-24 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L21-34 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W38-10 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W41-10 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:57% | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:64% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:73% | |
| 12 | 11/14 | Win prob:36% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:90% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:43% |
Data from 2025-10-12
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| 5-3 | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| 4-4 | 37.5% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 17.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 2.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-12
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-10-12
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8% (-0.0%) | 0.8% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.6% (-0.2%) | 1.2% (+0.4%) | |
| 1.3% (+0.5%) | 0.6% (-0.2%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.8%) | 1.4% (+0.6%) | |
| 0.8% (+0.0%) | 0.8% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.9% (+0.1%) | 0.8% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.7% (-0.1%) | 0.8% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.8% (+0.0%) | 0.7% (-0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
North Carolina
Syracuse
LouisvilleClemson
Boston College
Virginia
Georgia Tech
Florida StateCCG: 7.6% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
ClemsonCCG: 1.4% • Scenario: 57.1%
Data from 2025-10-12
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
8.3%
3.7%Any 1 loss
8.1%
5.2%
8.4%
4.8%
4.9%
0.4%Data from 2025-10-12
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-12