GeorgiaBulldogs

5-1 4th (3-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-12 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

43.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsMarshallMRSH	W45-7
2	9/06	vsAustin PeayAPSU	W28-6
3	9/13	@TennesseeTENN	W44-41
5	9/27	vsAlabamaALA	L21-24
6	10/04	vsKentuckyUK	W35-14
7	10/11	@AuburnAUB	W20-10
8	10/18	vsOle MissMISS	Win prob:65%
10	11/01	vsFloridaFLA(N)	Win prob:89%
11	11/08	@Mississippi StateMSST	Win prob:94%
12	11/15	vsTexasTEX	Win prob:71%
13	11/22	vsCharlotteCLT	Win prob:99%
14	11/28	vsGeorgia TechGT(N)	Win prob:94%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	38.7%	97.7%
6-2	43.9%	13.2%
5-3	15.6%	0.0%
4-4	1.7%	0%
3-5	0.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

78.7%

12.9%

4.0%

3.3%

1.1%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MissouriMIZ@AuburnAUB	43.0% (-0.5%)	44.3% (+0.7%)
Texas A&MTA&M@ArkansasARK	42.8% (-0.8%)	45.2% (+1.7%)
LSULSU@VanderbiltVAN	43.2% (-0.4%)	43.9% (+0.3%)
TennesseeTENN@AlabamaALA	45.2% (+1.6%)	43.1% (-0.5%)
Ole MissMISS@GeorgiaUGA	5.4% (-38.2%)	63.6% (+20.1%)
OklahomaOU@South CarolinaSC	43.3% (-0.3%)	44.0% (+0.4%)
TexasTEX@KentuckyUK	43.4% (-0.2%)	45.6% (+2.0%)
Mississippi StateMSST@FloridaFLA	44.0% (+0.4%)	43.5% (-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Missouri

Arkansas

Vanderbilt

Tennessee

Georgia

South Carolina

Kentucky

Mississippi State

CCG: 86.7% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Georgia

CCG: 63.6% • Scenario: 65.5%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

97.7%

35.9%

Any 1 loss

18.6%

43.3%

98.2%

0.3%

97.9%

2.4%

22.9%

4.3%

21.7%

2.3%

14.4%

15.1%

9.1%

18.9%

Any 2 losses

13.7%

3.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

30.0%

<0.1%

23.2%

0.1%

22.3%

0.3%

20.4%

<0.1%

14.7%

1.1%

13.0%

0.2%

11.2%

0.2%

8.6%

1.3%

Any 3 losses

15.3%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com