Ole MissRebels

6-0 T1st (3-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-12 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

42.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsGeorgia StateGAST	W63-7
2	9/06	@KentuckyUK	W30-23
3	9/13	vsArkansasARK	W41-35
4	9/20	vsTulaneTULN	W45-10
5	9/27	vsLSULSU	W24-19
7	10/11	vsWashington StateWSU	W24-21
8	10/18	@GeorgiaUGA	Win prob:35%
9	10/25	@OklahomaOU	Win prob:71%
10	11/01	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:88%
11	11/08	vsThe CitadelCIT	Win prob:90%
12	11/15	vsFloridaFLA	Win prob:89%
14	11/28	@Mississippi StateMSST	Win prob:92%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	17.7%	99.5%
7-1	46.7%	51.0%
6-2	28.7%	3.9%
5-3	6.4%	0%
4-4	0.5%	0%
3-5	0.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

70.6%

13.5%

6.3%

5.9%

3.7%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
MissouriMIZ@AuburnAUB	41.9% (-0.6%)	43.4% (+0.9%)
Texas A&MTA&M@ArkansasARK	41.2% (-1.4%)	45.3% (+2.7%)
LSULSU@VanderbiltVAN	42.7% (+0.1%)	42.4% (-0.1%)
TennesseeTENN@AlabamaALA	47.7% (+5.1%)	40.9% (-1.6%)
Ole MissMISS@GeorgiaUGA	84.2% (+41.6%)	20.6% (-21.9%)
OklahomaOU@South CarolinaSC	42.2% (-0.3%)	42.9% (+0.4%)
TexasTEX@KentuckyUK	41.9% (-0.6%)	47.8% (+5.3%)
Mississippi StateMSST@FloridaFLA	42.1% (-0.4%)	42.6% (+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Auburn

Arkansas

LSU

Ole Miss

Kentucky

Mississippi State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Ole Miss

CCG: 84.2% • Scenario: 34.4%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.5%

15.9%

Any 1 loss

53.0%

43.8%

99.3%

1.8%

87.1%

2.1%

86.9%

1.3%

81.5%

1.9%

81.0%

6.6%

38.5%

30.1%

Any 2 losses

11.0%

30.5%

86.2%

0.2%

85.5%

0.2%

80.2%

0.2%

80.2%

0.8%

37.9%

3.3%

18.9%

0.9%

15.8%

0.2%

15.7%

0.3%

13.0%

0.1%

11.6%

0.6%

6.9%

0.8%

3.9%

4.1%

3.1%

2.5%

2.6%

12.7%

1.6%

3.7%

Any 3 losses

4.4%

2.8%

21.6%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

17.2%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

9.6%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

3.7%

0.3%

3.1%

1.4%

2.9%

0.4%

1.9%

0.4%

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-12 • SportsSimulate.com